New England at Miami

Updated
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
21.3%78.7%
New England WinMiami Win
16.5Projected Points 26.7
17Final Score 31
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.779.677

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.2712.8156

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 25-29 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones+335
L 17-21 at Las Vegas RaidersNE: Mac Jones • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo+135
L 34-0 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones-128
L 3-38 at Dallas CowboysNE: Mac Jones • DAL: Dak Prescott+230
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 17-31 at Philadelphia EaglesMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • PHI: Jalen Hurts+150
W 21-42 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-1050
W 16-31 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-735
L 20-48 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+138
W 20-70 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Russell Wilson • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-260

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBJosh UcheOut
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterProbable
  • OLVederian LoweOut
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • OLTrent BrownQuestionable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut for Season
  • DLDeatrich Wise Jr.Probable
  • DTChristian BarmoreQuestionable
  • DEKeion WhiteProbable
  • LBMatt JudonIR
  • OLCalvin AndersonOut
  • OLRiley ReiffIR

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TTerron ArmsteadIR
  • -Isaiah WynnIR
  • OLConnor WilliamsProbable
  • WRRiver CracraftOut
  • CBXavien HowardOut
  • LBDavid Long Jr.Probable
  • RBRaheem MostertProbable
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • RBDevon AchaneIR
  • RBChristopher BrooksIR
  • FBAlec IngoldProbable
  • CBNik NeedhamProbable
  • SJevon HollandOut
  • CBJalen RamseyProbable
  • CBCam SmithProbable
ENE 14 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°85°85°84°
Humidity63%63%62%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindENE 14 mphENE 14 mphENE 14 mphENE 14 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+400+300+280+300+305+300+305+314.9
Miami-550-380-360-370-390-370-360-314.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+500+300+296+285+330+300+330+314.9
Miami-700-360-350-365-400-400-350-314.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+12-108+7½-108+7½-110+7½-112+8-115+7½-112+7½-108+7½-102
Miami-12-108-7½-108-7½-110-7½-108-8-105-7½-108-7½-108-7½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+12½-110+8-110+7½-120+7½-110+8-110+7½-110+8-110+7½-102
Miami-12½-110-8-110-7½+100-7½-110-8-110-7½-110-7½+100-7½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +9½-109 to +8½-110
Miami Spread moved from -7½-105 to -7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +9½-110 to +8½-110
Miami Spread moved from -8-105 to -8-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-108o46-108o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-108o46½+100
Underu47-108u46-108u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o46-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46½+100
Underu45½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o46½-115
The Under moved from u46½-105 to u46½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110