Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
78.9%21.1%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
27.5Projected Points 17.0
25Final Score 29
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.7610.7136

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.269.457

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 9-14 vs New York GiantsNYG: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
L 25-20 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • BUF: Josh Allen-240
W 20-48 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-145
W 37-3 at Washington CommandersBUF: Josh Allen • WAS: Sam Howell-220
W 10-38 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • BUF: Josh Allen-340
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 17-21 at Las Vegas RaidersNE: Mac Jones • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo+135
L 34-0 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones-128
L 3-38 at Dallas CowboysNE: Mac Jones • DAL: Dak Prescott+230
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
L 24-17 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+115

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • CBDane JacksonProbable
  • RBDamien HarrisIR
  • TEQuintin MorrisOut
  • LBMatt MilanoIR
  • TEDalton KincaidProbable
  • QBJosh AllenProbable
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteOut for Season
  • CBCam LewisProbable
  • DTDaQuan JonesIR
  • DTEd OliverOut

New England Patriots

Status
  • DEKeion WhiteOut
  • DETrey FlowersProbable
  • GCole StrangeProbable
  • LBMatt JudonIR
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • DBCody DavisProbable
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • DTDaniel EkualeIR
  • LBJosh UcheOut
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
  • CDavid AndrewsProbable
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • TEHunter HenryProbable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut for Season
  • DTDavon GodchauxProbable
  • DBJack JonesProbable
  • OLMichael OnwenuProbable
  • WRDemario DouglasProbable
  • WRKayshon BoutteOut
  • OLRiley ReiffOut
W 13 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)55°55°54°53°
Humidity65%64%65%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindW 13 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 12 mphWNW 11 mph
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-410-400-415-400-385-400-385-336.0
New England+305+320+310+320+302+320+320+336.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-400-380-370-420-420-430-370-336.0
New England+310+320+312+320+335+330+335+336.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-9+100-7½-108-8-110-7½-110-8+100-7½-110-8+100-7½+100
New England+9-120+7½-108+8-110+7½-110+8-120+7½-110+8-110+7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-8½-110-7½-110-7½-110-8-110-8-110-7½-110-7½-110-7½+100
New England+8½-110+7½-110+7½-110+8-110+8-110+7½-110+8-110+7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -8-105 to -8-110
New England Spread moved from +8½-105 to +8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -7½-105 to -7½-110
New England Spread moved from +9½-110 to +8½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o41-108o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-108o41+100
Underu44-110u41-108u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-108u41+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o40½-110o41-110o40½-110o41+100
Underu43½-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u40½-110u41-110u41-110u41+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41-110 to o41-115
The Under moved from u41-105 to u41-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u40½-110 to u40-110