Kansas City at Buffalo

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(14-1)
Rank2
P/G23.7
PA/G18.5
37.2%62.8%
Kansas City WinBuffalo Win
20.8Projected Points 24.3
27Final Score 24

Buffalo Bills

(12-3)
Rank3
P/G31.3
PA/G22.1
Rank2
P/G23.7
PA/G18.5
Rank3
P/G31.3
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.21610.42714

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.51711.22918

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 7-26 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • KC: Patrick Mahomes-222
W 13-12 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Easton Stick+160
W 17-25 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Jake Browning • KC: Patrick Mahomes-340
L 20-14 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • KC: Patrick Mahomes-575
W 27-17 at New England PatriotsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Bailey Zappe-475
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 17-31 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • BUF: Josh Allen-485
W 21-14 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-145
W 21-27 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
W 24-22 at Los Angeles ChargersBUF: Josh Allen • LAC: Easton Stick-715
W 10-31 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • BUF: Josh Allen-135

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • OLWanya MorrisOut
  • WRKadarius ToneyOut
  • LBCam JonesIR
  • WRSkyy MooreOut
  • DECharles OmenihuProbable
  • RBJerick McKinnonIR
  • DLDerrick NnadiOut
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Probable
  • WRJustyn RossProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBBaylon SpectorOut
  • CBTaron JohnsonProbable
  • PSam MartinQuestionable
  • WRGabriel DavisOut
  • LBTyrel DodsonProbable
  • STaylor RappOut
  • LBTerrel BernardOut
  • CBChristian BenfordOut
  • CBRasul DouglasProbable
  • WRStefon DiggsProbable
WSW 9 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)22°21°20°21°
Humidity81%82%84%85%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 9 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+120+125+125+125+130+125+130+133.2
Buffalo-140-145-145-145-150-145-145-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+125+125+128+122+125+125+128+133.2
Buffalo-145-145-146-145-145-145-145-133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+2½-110+2½-108+2½-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100
Buffalo-2½-110-2½-108-2½-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-110-2½-108-2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+0-110+2½-110+2½-105+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+2½-105+2½+100
Buffalo+0-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-115-2½-110-2½-105-2½-105-2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -3-120 to -3½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from +2½-101 to +2½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½+100 to -2½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o46½-108o46-110o46-107o46-110o46-107o46-107o46+103
Underu46-110u46½-108u46-110u46-113u46-110u46-113u46½-108u46-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46+103
Underu46½-110u46½-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46½-110u46-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-115 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u46-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
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