Pittsburgh at Buffalo

Updated
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
20.5%79.5%
Pittsburgh WinBuffalo Win
13.7Projected Points 24.7
17Final Score 31
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Kenny Pickett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.01210.364

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.51711.22918

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
W 17-10 at Baltimore RavensPIT: Mason Rudolph • BAL: Tyler Huntley-150
W 30-23 at Seattle SeahawksPIT: Mason Rudolph • SEA: Geno Smith+192
W 11-34 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Jake Browning • PIT: Kenny Pickett+135
L 13-30 at Indianapolis ColtsPIT: Kenny Pickett • IND: Gardner Minshew II+102
L 21-18 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • PIT: Kenny Pickett-260
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 21-14 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-145
W 21-27 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
W 24-22 at Los Angeles ChargersBUF: Josh Allen • LAC: Easton Stick-715
W 10-31 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 20-17 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+110

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • DBTrenton ThompsonIR
  • SMinkah FitzpatrickProbable
  • LBT.J. WattOut
  • SDamontae KazeeProbable
  • QBMason RudolphNamed Starter

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • RBTy JohnsonProbable
  • LBTyrel DodsonOut
  • CBRasul DouglasOut
  • STaylor RappOut
  • WRGabriel DavisOut
  • DTJordan PhillipsIR
SW 11 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Moderate on Under
 
Temp (°F)20°19°18°17°
Humidity74%76%76%76%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 11 mphSW 9 mphSW 8 mphSSW 7 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+375+400+390+400+415+400+415+418.0
Buffalo-465-525-550-510-525-510-510-418.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+385+400+401+400+415+425+415+418.0
Buffalo-485-500-485-550-525-550-485-418.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+9½+100+9½-108+10-115+10-110+10-110+10-110+10-110+10+100
Buffalo-9½-120-9½-108-10-105-10-110-10-110-10-110-9½-108-10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+9½-105+10-110+10-115+10-115+10-110+10-110+10-110+10+100
Buffalo-9½-115-10-110-10-105-10-105-10-110-10+100-10+100-10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +10-110 to +10-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -10-115 to -10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +10-110 to +10-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -9½-110 to -10-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o38½-108o39½-110o39-110o39½-110o39-110o38½-108o39+100
Underu39-110u38½-108u39½-110u39-110u39½-110u39-110u39½-110u39+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o39½-110o40-105o39½-110o39½-110o39½-110o39½-110o39+100
Underu39-110u39½-110u40-115u39½-110u39½-110u39½-110u40-115u39+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-105 to o39½-110
The Under moved from u39½-108 to u38½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-110 to o40-115
The Under moved from u40-105 to u40-115