New England Patriots
(3-12)Buffalo Bills
(12-3)Quarterbacks
Bailey Zappe
starting| Cmp% | Starts | YPG | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.2 | 3 | 9.7 | 4 | 4 |
Josh Allen
starting| Cmp% | Starts | YPG | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66.3 | 14 | 10.9 | 26 | 14 |
Last 5 Games
New England Patriots | Money Line | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| W 26-23 | at Denver BroncosNE: Bailey Zappe • DEN: Russell Wilson | +310 | |
| L 27-17 | vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Bailey Zappe | +425 | |
| W 21-18 | at Pittsburgh SteelersNE: Bailey Zappe • PIT: Kenny Pickett | +230 | |
| L 6-0 | vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Bailey Zappe | +195 | |
| L 7-10 | at New York GiantsNE: Mac Jones • NYG: Tommy DeVito | -210 | |
Buffalo Bills | Money Line | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| W 24-22 | at Los Angeles ChargersBUF: Josh Allen • LAC: Easton Stick | -715 | |
| W 10-31 | vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • BUF: Josh Allen | -135 | |
| W 20-17 | at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes | +110 | |
| L 34-37 | at Philadelphia EaglesBUF: Josh Allen • PHI: Jalen Hurts | +135 | |
| W 6-32 | vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen | -370 | |
Injuries
New England Patriots
Status- DTChristian BarmoreProbable
- DBKyle DuggerProbable
- WRMatthew SlaterProbable
- GCole StrangeIR
- OLConor McDermottIR
- CBShaun WadeProbable
- TEHunter HenryOut
- DBMyles BryantProbable
- OLRiley ReiffIR
- CBJalen MillsProbable
- DBJabrill PeppersOut
- RBRhamondre StevensonIR
- WRJuJu Smith-SchusterIR
- DBJonathan JonesProbable
- LBAnfernee JenningsProbable
- OLTrent BrownOut
Buffalo Bills
Status- WRJustin ShorterProbable
- DTJordan PhillipsIR
- RBTy JohnsonProbable
- SDamar HamlinOut
- DEA.J. EpenesaProbable
- DTDaQuan JonesProbable
- SMicah HydeProbable
- DEShaq LawsonProbable
| O/U Effect |
|---|
| Very Small on Over |
| Temp (°F) | 35° | 36° | 36° | 36° |
| Humidity | 88% | 86% | 84% | 86% |
| Precipitation | 26% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Condition | Cloudy | Cloudy | Cloudy | Cloudy |
| Wind | WSW 3 mph | W 3 mph | W 2 mph | NE 2 mph |
| ML Effect | O/U Effect |
|---|---|
| No Effect | No Effect |
Money Line
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied MarginImplied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | +525 | +791 | +700 | +790 | +850 | +790 | +850 | +826.4 |
| Buffalo | -800 | -1315 | -1200 | -1300 | -1250 | -1300 | -1200 | -826.4 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | +550 | +700 | +800 | +700 | +700 | +750 | +800 | +826.4 |
| Buffalo | -800 | -1100 | -1100 | -1100 | -1100 | -1400 | -1100 | -826.4 |
Spread Analysis
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied MarginImplied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | +13½-108 | +14½-108 | +15-105 | +15-110 | +15-110 | +15-110 | +15-105 | +15+100 |
| Buffalo | -13½-108 | -14½-108 | -15-115 | -15-110 | -15-110 | -15-110 | -14½-108 | -15+100 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | +13½-110 | +15-110 | +15½-110 | +15½-110 | +14½-110 | +15-110 | +15½-110 | +15+100 |
| Buffalo | -13½-110 | -15-110 | -15½-110 | -15½-110 | -14½-110 | -15-110 | -14½-110 | -15+100 |
Overall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest Spread
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOverall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest Spread
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOver/Under Analysis
Implied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied MarginImplied Margin
Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.
More on Implied Margin| Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | o40-108 | o40-108 | o40-110 | o40-110 | o40-110 | o40-110 | o40-108 | o40+100 |
| Under | u40-108 | u40-108 | u40-110 | u40-110 | u40-110 | u40-110 | u40-108 | u40+100 |
| Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | o39½-110 | o40½-110 | o40-105 | o40-110 | o40-110 | o40-110 | o40-105 | o40+100 |
| Under | u39½-110 | u40½-110 | u40-115 | u40-110 | u40-110 | u40-110 | u40½-110 | u40+100 |
Overall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam MoveOverall
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating
Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base RatingBet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends
Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet TrendsLatest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move