New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
15.3%84.7%
WinBuffalo Win
14.0Projected Points 28.4
21Final Score 27
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4

Quarterbacks

Bailey Zappe

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.239.744

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.31410.92614

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 26-23 at Denver BroncosNE: Bailey Zappe • DEN: Russell Wilson+310
L 27-17 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Bailey Zappe+425
W 21-18 at Pittsburgh SteelersNE: Bailey Zappe • PIT: Kenny Pickett+230
L 6-0 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Bailey Zappe+195
L 7-10 at New York GiantsNE: Mac Jones • NYG: Tommy DeVito-210
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 24-22 at Los Angeles ChargersBUF: Josh Allen • LAC: Easton Stick-715
W 10-31 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 20-17 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+110
L 34-37 at Philadelphia EaglesBUF: Josh Allen • PHI: Jalen Hurts+135
W 6-32 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-370

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • WRMatthew SlaterProbable
  • GCole StrangeIR
  • OLConor McDermottIR
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • TEHunter HenryOut
  • DBMyles BryantProbable
  • OLRiley ReiffIR
  • CBJalen MillsProbable
  • DBJabrill PeppersOut
  • RBRhamondre StevensonIR
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterIR
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • LBAnfernee JenningsProbable
  • OLTrent BrownOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRJustin ShorterProbable
  • DTJordan PhillipsIR
  • RBTy JohnsonProbable
  • SDamar HamlinOut
  • DEA.J. EpenesaProbable
  • DTDaQuan JonesProbable
  • SMicah HydeProbable
  • DEShaq LawsonProbable
WSW 3 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)35°36°36°36°
Humidity88%86%84%86%
Precipitation26%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindWSW 3 mphW 3 mphW 2 mphNE 2 mph
Alan Eck
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+525+791+700+790+850+790+850+826.4
Buffalo-800-1315-1200-1300-1250-1300-1200-826.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+550+700+800+700+700+750+800+826.4
Buffalo-800-1100-1100-1100-1100-1400-1100-826.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+13½-108+14½-108+15-105+15-110+15-110+15-110+15-105+15+100
Buffalo-13½-108-14½-108-15-115-15-110-15-110-15-110-14½-108-15+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+13½-110+15-110+15½-110+15½-110+14½-110+15-110+15½-110+15+100
Buffalo-13½-110-15-110-15½-110-15½-110-14½-110-15-110-14½-110-15+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +14-110 to +14-120
Buffalo Spread moved from -15-105 to -14½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +14-110 to +13-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -14-110 to -14½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-108o40-108o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-108o40+100
Underu40-108u40-108u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-108u40+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39½-110o40½-110o40-105o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-105o40+100
Underu39½-110u40½-110u40-115u40-110u40-110u40-110u40½-110u40+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-105 to o40-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u40-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u40½-110 to u40-110