New England at Denver

Updated
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
28.3%71.7%
New England WinDenver Win
17.4Projected Points 24.3
26Final Score 23
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6

Quarterbacks

Bailey Zappe

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.239.744

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.31410.4248

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 27-17 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Bailey Zappe+425
W 21-18 at Pittsburgh SteelersNE: Bailey Zappe • PIT: Kenny Pickett+230
L 6-0 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Bailey Zappe+195
L 7-10 at New York GiantsNE: Mac Jones • NYG: Tommy DeVito-210
L 10-6 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Gardner Minshew II • NE: Mac Jones+110
Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 17-42 at Detroit LionsDEN: Russell Wilson • DET: Jared Goff+210
W 24-7 at Los Angeles ChargersDEN: Russell Wilson • LAC: Justin Herbert+150
L 17-22 at Houston TexansDEN: Russell Wilson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+160
W 12-29 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • DEN: Russell Wilson-128
W 20-21 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Joshua Dobbs • DEN: Russell Wilson-145

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBJahlani TavaiProbable
  • GCole StrangeIR
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
  • WRMatthew SlaterOut
  • DBJabrill PeppersOut
  • OLConor McDermottIR
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • LBAnfernee JenningsProbable
  • OLRiley ReiffIR
  • TEHunter HenryOut
  • RBRhamondre StevensonOut

Denver Broncos

Status
  • CBKareem JacksonProbable
  • TAlex PalczewskiOut
  • DENik BonittoOut
  • TEGreg DulcichOut
N 4 mph
Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)26°24°23°22°
Humidity56%56%58%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindN 4 mphNNE 3 mphSE 3 mphS 3 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+205+275+265+275+270+275+275+287.8
Denver-245-345-330-330-350-330-330-287.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+210+310+269+275+260+275+310+287.8
Denver-260-370-315-350-320-350-315-287.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+6-110+7-108+7-110+7-108+7-105+7-108+7-105+7+102
Denver-6-110-7-108-7-110-7-112-7-115-7-112-7-108-7-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+6-110+7-110+7+100+7-105+7-101+7+100+7+100+7+102
Denver-6-110-7-110-7-120-7-115-7-119-7-120-7-110-7-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Denver: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +7-110 to +6½-110
Denver Spread moved from -7½+100 to -7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Denver: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +7-110 to +6½-110
Denver Spread moved from -7-105 to -7-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo36-110o37½-108o37½-105o37½-109o37½-110o37½-109o37½-105o37½+101
Underu36-110u37½-108u37½-115u37½-111u37½-110u37½-111u37½-108u37½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo35½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37-110o37½-110o37-110o37½+101
Underu35½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½+100 to o37½-105
The Under moved from u37½-105 to u37½-111

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-110 to o38-110
The Under moved from u38-110 to u37½-110