Denver at Las Vegas

Updated

Denver Broncos

(6-5)
Rank15
P/G21.4
PA/G16.6
47.5%52.5%
Denver WinLas Vegas Win
20.9Projected Points 22.0
14Final Score 27

Las Vegas Raiders

(2-8)
Rank31
P/G18.7
PA/G28.5
Rank15
P/G21.4
PA/G16.6
Rank31
P/G18.7
PA/G28.5

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.31410.4248

Aidan O'Connell

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.1710.587

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 9-16 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Easton Stick • DEN: Jarrett Stidham-185
L 26-23 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • DEN: Russell Wilson-315
L 17-42 at Detroit LionsDEN: Russell Wilson • DET: Jared Goff+210
W 24-7 at Los Angeles ChargersDEN: Russell Wilson • LAC: Justin Herbert+150
L 17-22 at Houston TexansDEN: Russell Wilson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+160
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
L 20-23 at Indianapolis ColtsVEG: Aidan O'Connell • IND: Gardner Minshew II+170
W 20-14 at Kansas City ChiefsVEG: Aidan O'Connell • KC: Patrick Mahomes+500
W 21-63 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Easton Stick • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-155
L 3-0 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Joshua Dobbs • VEG: Aidan O'Connell+135
L 31-17 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell+380

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • TAlex PalczewskiProbable
  • -Mike McGlincheyOut
  • TEGreg DulcichProbable
  • WRCourtland SuttonProbable
  • WRMarvin Mims Jr.Probable
  • TEChris ManhertzOut
  • LBBaron BrowningProbable

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • TECole FotheringhamProbable
  • TThayer Munford Jr.Out
  • TEMichael MayerOut
  • FBJakob JohnsonProbable
  • CBBrandon FacysonProbable
  • TEJesper HorstedIR
  • LBKana'i MaugaIR
  • RBJosh JacobsOut
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+125+150+160+158+150+158+160+165.2
Las Vegas-145-170-185-178-170-178-170-165.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+118+160+150+143+155+155+160+165.2
Las Vegas-140-180-170-170-175-185-170-165.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+3-110+3½-118+3½-115+3+105+3+100+3+105+3+105+3+114
Las Vegas-3-110-3½+102-3½-105-3-125-3-120-3-125-3½+102-3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+3-120+3½-110+3+105+3+100+3½-110+3+100+3½-110+3+114
Las Vegas-3+100-3½-110-3-125-3-120-3½-110-3-120-3-120-3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 30.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 20.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 30.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3-115 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38½-110o37½-108o37½-115o37-115o37-110o37-115o37-110o37-104
Underu38½-110u37½-108u37½-105u37-105u37-110u37-105u37½-105u37+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37-104
Underu38-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-110 to o37½-115
The Under moved from u37½-108 to u37-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37-110 to o37½-110
The Under moved from u38-110 to u37-110
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