Tampa Bay at Detroit

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
32.5%67.5%
Tampa Bay WinDetroit Win
22.3Projected Points 27.1
20Final Score 16

Detroit Lions

(9-1)
Rank1
P/G33.6
PA/G17.7
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank1
P/G33.6
PA/G17.7

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
80.01289.040

Jared Goff

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.31217.011

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 20-37 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-195
L 23-31 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+245
W 9-32 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
W 9-0 at Carolina PanthersTB: Baker Mayfield • CAR: Bryce Young-240
L 23-13 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • TB: Baker Mayfield-145
Detroit Lions
Money Line
W 20-26 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • DET: Jared Goff-245
L 31-34 at San Francisco 49ersDET: Jared Goff • SF: Brock Purdy+300
W 23-31 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff-278
W 23-24 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • DET: Jared Goff-165
W 20-30 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Nick Mullens • DET: Jared Goff-185

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • DLLogan HallProbable
  • LBKalen DeLoachIR
  • WRRakim JarrettIR
  • CBBryce HallOut for Season
  • RBChase EdmondsOut for Season
  • DLLwal UguakIR
  • DLCalijah KanceyOut
  • DBJosh HayesOut
  • CBZyon McCollumProbable
  • OLShaun PetersonIR
  • GLuke GoedekeOut
  • OLSilas DzansiIR
  • GSua OpetaIR
  • STykee SmithProbable

Detroit Lions

Status
  • TPenei SewellProbable
  • WRJameson WilliamsProbable
  • DEJohn CominskyIR
  • OLChristian MahoganyUnknown
  • DLNate LynnIR
  • WRTre'quan SmithIR
  • WRIsaiah WilliamsOut
  • DLMarcus DavenportDoubtful
  • SLoren StricklandProbable
  • CBEmmanuel MoseleyIR
  • DLDJ ReaderProbable
  • WRAntoine GreenIR
  • SKerby JosephProbable
  • GNetane MutiIR
  • DLBrodric MartinIR
  • DBIfeatu MelifonwuOut
  • OLConnor GalvinIR
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+270+295+285+290+280+290+295+305.2
Detroit-340-365-370-360-360-360-360-305.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+208+320+296+290+300+300+320+305.2
Detroit-240-380-350-360-360-360-350-305.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6½-110+7½-108+8-110+7½-107+8-110+7½-107+8-110+7½+103
Detroit-6½-110-7½-108-8-110-7½-113-8-110-7½-113-7½-108-7½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+7½-110+8-108+8-108+7½+103
Detroit-6-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-7½-110-8-108-7½-110-7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +7½-115 to +6½-110
Detroit Spread moved from -8-105 to -8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread
Detroit Spread moved from -7½+100 to -7½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o51½-108o52-115o52-105o52-110o52-105o51½-108o52+104
Underu48½-110u51½-108u52-105u52-115u52-110u52-115u52-105u52-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o52-110o52-110o52-110o51½-110o52-110o51½-110o52+104
Underu48½-110u52-110u52-110u52-110u51½-110u52-110u52-110u52-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51½-115 to o52-115
The Under moved from u52-105 to u51½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51½-110 to o52-110
The Under moved from u52½-110 to u52-110
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