Atlanta at New Orleans

Updated

Atlanta Falcons

(8-7)
Rank17
P/G21.8
PA/G23.3
33.5%66.5%
Atlanta WinNew Orleans Win
17.5Projected Points 22.0
17Final Score 48

New Orleans Saints

(5-10)
Rank24
P/G20.6
PA/G23.1
Rank17
P/G21.8
PA/G23.3
Rank24
P/G20.6
PA/G23.1

Quarterbacks

Taylor Heinicke

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
55.4212.131

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.41410.3167

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 17-37 at Chicago BearsATL: Taylor Heinicke • CHI: Justin Fields+135
W 10-29 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Gardner Minshew II • ATL: Taylor Heinicke-144
L 7-9 at Carolina PanthersATL: Desmond Ridder • CAR: Bryce Young-140
L 29-25 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Desmond Ridder-124
W 13-8 at New York JetsATL: Desmond Ridder • NYJ: Tim Boyle-130
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 23-13 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNO: Derek Carr • TB: Baker Mayfield+127
L 22-30 at Los Angeles RamsNO: Derek Carr • LAR: Matthew Stafford+190
W 6-24 vs New York GiantsNYG: Tommy DeVito • NO: Derek Carr-255
W 6-28 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • NO: Derek Carr-250
L 33-28 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • NO: Derek Carr+175

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • LBTroy AndersenOut
  • DLKentavius StreetIR
  • DLZach HarrisonOut
  • SDeMarcco HellamsOut
  • CBMike HughesProbable
  • OLDrew DalmanOut
  • QBTaylor HeinickeOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • DEPayton TurnerProbable
  • DTKhalen SaundersProbable
  • RBAlvin KamaraOut
  • DBJ.T. GrayProbable
  • LBNephi SewellOut for Season
  • WRJuwan JohnsonProbable
  • TRyan RamczykProbable
  • TLandon YoungOut
  • WRA.T. PerryProbable
  • CBLonnie Johnson Jr.Out
  • RBKendre MillerProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+175+150+155+161+150+161+161+168.1
New Orleans-210-170-180-181-170-181-170-168.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+143+145+150+140+155+150+155+168.1
New Orleans-170-165-170-165-175-180-165-168.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+3½-110+3+102+3+105+3-112+3-110+3+100+3+105+3+109
New Orleans-3½-110-3-118-3-125-3-108-3-110-3-120-3-110-3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+5-110+3½-110+3-105+3+100+3½-110+3-110+3½-110+3+109
New Orleans-5-110-3½-110-3-115-3-120-3½-110-3-110-3-115-3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
New Orleans: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread
New Orleans Spread moved from -3-115 to -3-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +3-115 to +3-125
New Orleans Spread moved from -3-119 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o41½-108o41½-105o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-105o41½+100
Underu42-110u41½-108u41½-115u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-108u41½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o41-115
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42½-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110
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