Kansas City at Atlanta

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(14-1)
Rank2
P/G23.7
PA/G18.5
61.5%38.5%
Kansas City WinAtlanta Win
24.5Projected Points 21.1
22Final Score 17

Atlanta Falcons

(8-7)
Rank17
P/G21.8
PA/G23.3
Rank2
P/G23.7
PA/G18.5
Rank17
P/G21.8
PA/G23.3

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.72221.033

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.52198.032

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 25-26 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • KC: Patrick Mahomes-265
W 20-27 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • KC: Patrick Mahomes-142
W 22-25 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • KC: Patrick Mahomes+115
W 17-10 at Baltimore RavensKC: Patrick Mahomes • BAL: Lamar Jackson+200
W 27-24 at Buffalo BillsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen+128
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 22-21 at Philadelphia EaglesATL: Kirk Cousins • PHI: Jalen Hurts+215
L 18-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Justin Fields • ATL: Kirk Cousins-190
L 17-48 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Taylor Heinicke • NO: Derek Carr+155
L 17-37 at Chicago BearsATL: Taylor Heinicke • CHI: Justin Fields+135
W 10-29 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Gardner Minshew II • ATL: Taylor Heinicke-144

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • DECharles OmenihuIR
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireUnknown
  • DEBJ ThompsonIR
  • RBIsiah PachecoIR
  • WRHollywood BrownIR
  • GMcKade MettauerIR

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • RBRobert BurnsUnknown
  • DBHarrison HandIR
  • WRRondale MooreIR
  • LBNate LandmanIR
  • SDeMarcco HellamsIR
  • CBAntonio Hamilton Sr.Probable
  • LBBralen TriceIR
  • DBJosh ThompsonIR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Tra Blake
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-210-160-160-165-165-165-160-152.5
Atlanta+175+140+135+145+145+145+145+152.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-185-170-165-175-175-165-165-152.5
Atlanta+165+150+146+155+155+145+155+152.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-4½-105-3-118-3-110-3-110-3-115-3-110-3-110-3+100
Atlanta+4½-115+3+102+3-110+3-110+3-105+3-110+3+102+3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-4½-110-3-110-3-110-3-120-3-120-3-108-3-108-3+100
Atlanta+4½-110+3-110+3-110+3+100+3+100+3-108+3+100+3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3-105 to -3-120
No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110
No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o46½-108o46-115o46½-115o47-110o46½-115o46½-108o46½-104
Underu46½-110u46½-108u46-105u46½-105u47-110u46½-105u47-110u46½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o46½-110o46½-115o46½-110o46-110o46½-110o46-110o46½-104
Underu46½-110u46½-110u46½-105u46½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-105u46½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-108 to u46-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o46½-115
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110
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