Jacksonville at Buffalo

Updated
Rank27
P/G18.9
PA/G28.7
28.8%71.2%
Jacksonville WinBuffalo Win
19.3Projected Points 26.1
10Final Score 47
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
Rank27
P/G18.9
PA/G28.7
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4

Quarterbacks

Trevor Lawrence

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
51.02191.010

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.82185.530

Last 5 Games

Jacksonville Jaguars
Money Line
L 18-13 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-160
L 17-20 at Miami DolphinsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+173
L 20-28 at Tennessee TitansJAX: Trevor Lawrence • TEN: Will Levis-175
W 0-26 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • JAX: C.J. Beathard-185
L 12-30 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersJAX: Trevor Lawrence • TB: Baker Mayfield-130
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 31-10 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+125
W 28-34 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • BUF: Josh Allen-290
L 27-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-145
W 17-31 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • BUF: Josh Allen-485
W 21-14 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-145

Injuries

Jacksonville Jaguars

Status
  • RBTank BigsbyProbable
  • RBKeilan RobinsonIR
  • DEDe'Shaan DixonIR
  • CBTyson CampbellIR
  • TEPatrick MurtaghIR
  • SAndrew WingardIR
  • SAndre CiscoProbable
  • SDarnell SavageOut
  • TEEvan EngramOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTerrel BernardOut
  • LBMatt MilanoIR
  • TTravis ClaytonIR
  • QBShane BuecheleIR
  • DBDee DelaneyIR
  • DEJavon SolomonProbable
  • CBTaron JohnsonOut
  • STerrell BurgessIR
  • DEDawuane SmootProbable
  • RBDarrynton EvansIR
SSE 3 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°68°67°66°
Humidity87%88%90%89%
Precipitation14%8%7%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSE 3 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 6 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+230+180+205+180+190+180+205+189.7
Buffalo-275-210-245-210-230-210-210-189.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+232+195+197+185+190+190+197+189.7
Buffalo-270-230-225-230-220-220-220-189.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+5½-108+4-108+5-105+4½-110+4½-115+4½-110+5-105+4½+100
Buffalo-5½-108-4-108-5-115-4½-110-4½-105-4½-110-4½-105-4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+5-110+4½-110+5-110+5-110+4½-110+4½-108+5-110+4½+100
Buffalo-5-110-4½-110-5-110-5-110-4½-110-4½-108-4½-108-4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Jacksonville: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Jacksonville: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Jacksonville: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Jacksonville: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Jacksonville Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -4-110 to -5-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Jacksonville: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Jacksonville: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Jacksonville: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Jacksonville: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Jacksonville Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-108o46½-108o45½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o45½-110o46½+100
Underu46½-108u46½-108u45½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-108u46½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½+100
Underu46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-107 to u46½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110