Jacksonville at Buffalo

Updated

Jacksonville Jaguars

(0-4)
Rank26
P/G15.0
PA/G27.2
28.8%71.2%
Jacksonville WinBuffalo Win
19.3Projected Points 26.1
10Final Score 47

Buffalo Bills

(3-1)
Rank5
P/G30.5
PA/G20.8
Rank26
P/G15.0
PA/G27.2
Rank5
P/G30.5
PA/G20.8

Quarterbacks

Trevor Lawrence

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
51.02191.010

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.82185.530

Last 5 Games

Jacksonville Jaguars
Money Line
L 18-13 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-160
L 17-20 at Miami DolphinsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+173
L 20-28 at Tennessee TitansJAX: Trevor Lawrence • TEN: Will Levis-175
W 0-26 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • JAX: C.J. Beathard-185
L 12-30 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersJAX: Trevor Lawrence • TB: Baker Mayfield-130
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 31-10 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+125
W 28-34 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • BUF: Josh Allen-290
L 27-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-145
W 17-31 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • BUF: Josh Allen-485
W 21-14 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-145

Injuries

Jacksonville Jaguars

Status
  • RBTank BigsbyProbable
  • RBKeilan RobinsonIR
  • DEDe'Shaan DixonIR
  • CBTyson CampbellIR
  • TEPatrick MurtaghIR
  • SAndrew WingardIR
  • SAndre CiscoProbable
  • SDarnell SavageOut
  • TEEvan EngramOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTerrel BernardOut
  • LBMatt MilanoIR
  • TTravis ClaytonIR
  • QBShane BuecheleIR
  • DBDee DelaneyIR
  • DEJavon SolomonProbable
  • CBTaron JohnsonOut
  • STerrell BurgessIR
  • DEDawuane SmootProbable
  • RBDarrynton EvansIR
SSE 3 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°68°67°66°
Humidity87%88%90%89%
Precipitation14%8%7%5%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSE 3 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 6 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+230+180+205+180+190+180+205+189.7
Buffalo-275-210-245-210-230-210-210-189.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+232+195+197+185+190+190+197+189.7
Buffalo-270-230-225-230-220-220-220-189.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+5½-108+4-108+5-105+4½-110+4½-115+4½-110+5-105+4½+100
Buffalo-5½-108-4-108-5-115-4½-110-4½-105-4½-110-4½-105-4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Jacksonville+5-110+4½-110+5-110+5-110+4½-110+4½-108+5-110+4½+100
Buffalo-5-110-4½-110-5-110-5-110-4½-110-4½-108-4½-108-4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Jacksonville: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Jacksonville: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Jacksonville: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Jacksonville: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Jacksonville: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Jacksonville Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -4-110 to -5-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Jacksonville: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Jacksonville: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Jacksonville: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Jacksonville: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Jacksonville: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Jacksonville Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-108o46½-108o45½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o45½-110o46½+100
Underu46½-108u46½-108u45½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-108u46½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½+100
Underu46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-107 to u46½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110
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