Buffalo at Miami

Updated
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
53.1%46.9%
Buffalo WinMiami Win
23.4Projected Points 22.0
31Final Score 10
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
78.31232.020

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.21338.010

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 28-34 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • BUF: Josh Allen-290
L 27-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-145
W 17-31 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • BUF: Josh Allen-485
W 21-14 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-145
W 21-27 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 17-20 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-175
L 7-26 at Kansas City ChiefsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • KC: Patrick Mahomes+205
L 21-14 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+128
L 19-56 at Baltimore RavensMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BAL: Lamar Jackson+150
W 20-22 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-120

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • QBShane BuecheleIR
  • DBDee DelaneyIR
  • TTravis ClaytonIR
  • DEDawuane SmootOut
  • STerrell BurgessIR
  • RBDarrynton EvansIR
  • DEJavon SolomonDoubtful
  • CBTaron JohnsonOut
  • LBMatt MilanoIR

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • WRBraylon SandersIR
  • DBElijah CampbellProbable
  • WRMalik WashingtonOut
  • WRAnthony SchwartzIR
  • -Isaiah WynnUnknown
  • LBCameron GoodeUnknown
  • LBCam BrownIR
  • RBRaheem MostertOut
  • RBChristopher BrooksIR
  • RBDevon AchaneProbable
  • LBDavid Long Jr.Probable
  • LBBradley ChubbUnknown
  • SPatrick McMorrisIR
  • WROdell Beckham Jr.Out
  • LBGrayson MurphyIR
  • DEWyatt RayIR
  • WRRiver CracraftIR
  • CBCam SmithIR
SSW 4 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°82°81°80°
Humidity82%84%86%88%
Precipitation35%25%9%27%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSW 4 mphSSW 3 mphSSW 3 mphSSW 3 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+105+120+125+120+125+125+125+133.2
Miami-125-140-145-140-145-145-140-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+100+125+116+120+120+125+125+133.2
Miami-118-145-134-140-140-145-134-133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+2-110+2½-108+2½-105+2½-105+2½-105+2½-105+2½-105+2½+104
Miami-2-110-2½-108-2½-115-2½-115-2½-115-2½-115-2½-108-2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½-102+2½+100+2½+104
Miami-1½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-108-2½-108-2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
No Steam Moves On Miami Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +2½+105 to +2½-110
Miami Spread moved from -2½-120 to -5½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52-110o49-108o49½-110o49½-110o48½-110o49½-110o48½-110o49½+100
Underu52-110u49-108u49½-110u49½-110u48½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49½+100
Underu50½-110u49-110u49-110u49-110u49-110u49-110u49-110u49½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-115 to o49-120
The Under moved from u49+100 to u49½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o49½-115
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u49-110