Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-6)
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
67.5%32.5%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
23.4Projected Points 18.5
51Final Score 27

New Orleans Saints

(5-9)
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.54246.082

Spencer Rattler

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 30-36 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Kirk Cousins+130
W 16-33 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+100
L 26-7 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • TB: Baker Mayfield-250
W 20-16 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+320
W 20-37 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-195
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 13-26 at Kansas City ChiefsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes+200
L 24-26 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Kirk Cousins+126
L 15-12 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NO: Derek Carr-138
W 44-19 at Dallas CowboysNO: Derek Carr • DAL: Dak Prescott+255
W 10-47 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • NO: Derek Carr-185

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable
  • RBRachaad WhiteOut
  • LBSirVocea DennisIR
  • SJordan WhiteheadProbable
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Probable
  • WRTrey PalmerOut
  • WRKameron JohnsonOut
  • GLuke GoedekeProbable
  • SChristian IzienOut
  • WRJalen McMillanProbable
  • DLCalijah KanceyProbable
  • LSEvan DeckersIR
  • CGraham BartonOut
  • DLEarnest Brown IVOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • DBWill HarrisIR
  • QBTaysom HillOut
  • DEPayton TurnerProbable
  • WRRashid ShaheedProbable
  • RBAlvin KamaraProbable
  • CShane LemieuxIR
  • OLLucas PatrickOut
  • LBPete WernerOut
  • QBSpencer RattlerNamed Starter
  • OLErik McCoyIR
  • QBDerek CarrOut
  • LBWillie GayProbable
  • RBKendre MillerProbable
  • CCesar RuizOut
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-130-190-180-180-190-180-180-167.1
New Orleans+110+165+155+160+165+160+165+167.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+112-180-180-185-180-180-180-167.1
New Orleans-130+160+160+165+160+160+165+167.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½-115-3½-108-3½-105-3½-105-3½+100-3½-105-3½+100-3½+104
New Orleans+1½-105+3½-108+3½-115+3½-115+3½-120+3½-115+3½-108+3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½+100-3½-110-3½-105-3½-110-3½-110-3½-106-3½-105-3½+104
New Orleans-2½-120+3½-110+3½-115+3½-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3-118 to -3½-108
No Steam Moves On New Orleans Spread

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-106
New Orleans Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-108

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o42½-108o42½-105o42½-112o42½-110o42½-112o42½-105o42½-102
Underu43½-110u42½-108u42½-115u42½-108u42½-110u42½-108u42½-108u42½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-102
Underu45½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-105 to o42-115
The Under moved from u42-105 to u42½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110
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