Kansas City at Las Vegas

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(13-1)
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
84.9%15.1%
Kansas City WinWin
27.2Projected Points 12.3
27Final Score 20

Las Vegas Raiders

(2-12)
Rank30
P/G17.5
PA/G26.9
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank30
P/G17.5
PA/G26.9

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.45247.066

Aidan O'Connell

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.91134.322

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 28-18 at San Francisco 49ersKC: Patrick Mahomes • SF: Brock Purdy+135
W 13-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-224
W 17-10 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert-320
W 22-17 at Atlanta FalconsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ATL: Kirk Cousins-165
W 25-26 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • KC: Patrick Mahomes-265
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
L 15-20 at Los Angeles RamsVEG: Gardner Minshew II • LAR: Matthew Stafford+296
L 32-13 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Justin Fields • VEG: Gardner Minshew II+180
L 18-34 at Denver BroncosVEG: Gardner Minshew II • DEN: Bo Nix+145
W 16-20 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • VEG: Gardner Minshew II+140
L 36-22 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Andy Dalton • VEG: Gardner Minshew II-235

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • CBJaylen WatsonOut
  • WRSkyy MooreIR
  • WRDeAndre HopkinsProbable
  • DEMike DannaOut
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
  • WRRashee RiceOut for Season

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • QBGardner MinshewNamed Starter
  • TEMichael MayerOut
  • QBAidan O'ConnellOut
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • DTChristian WilkinsIR
  • LBKana'i MaugaOut
  • TEHarrison BryantOut
  • TKolton MillerProbable
  • GDylan ParhamOut
  • LBTommy EichenbergProbable
  • LBLuke MastersonIR
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Adrian Hill
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-460-430-430-430-440-430-430-365.1
Las Vegas+370+340+320+350+340+350+350+365.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-450-475-390-475-475-400-390-365.1
Las Vegas+374+375+330+375+375+330+375+365.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-10-110-8-108-8½-115-9-104-9+100-9-104-9+100-9+105
Las Vegas+10-110+8-108+8½-105+9-116+9-120+9-116+8½-105+9-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-10½-110-9½-110-8½-110-9½-110-9-110-8½-108-8½-108-9+105
Las Vegas+10½-110+9½-110+8½-110+9½-110+9-110+8½-108+9½-110+9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 30.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -9+100 to -9-105
Las Vegas Spread moved from +9-105 to +8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 30.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -10-110 to -10½-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from +10-110 to +9½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-105o43-108o43½-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-108o43+100
Underu42½-115u43-108u43½-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43½-110u43+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o42½-110o43-110o43-110o42-110o43-110o42-110o43+100
Underu42½-110u42½-110u43-110u43-110u42-110u43-110u43-110u43+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u41-105 to u41-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-110
Chicago at Washington
Carolina at Denver