Denver at New Orleans

Updated

Denver Broncos

(9-5)
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
52.7%47.3%
Denver WinNew Orleans Win
20.0Projected Points 18.8
33Final Score 10

New Orleans Saints

(5-9)
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.16180.355

Spencer Rattler

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
55.01243.012

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 23-16 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • DEN: Bo Nix+145
W 18-34 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Gardner Minshew II • DEN: Bo Nix-155
W 10-9 at New York JetsDEN: Bo Nix • NYJ: Aaron Rodgers+350
W 26-7 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDEN: Bo Nix • TB: Baker Mayfield+240
L 13-6 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Justin Fields • DEN: Bo Nix+135
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 51-27 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Spencer Rattler+165
L 13-26 at Kansas City ChiefsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes+200
L 24-26 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Kirk Cousins+126
L 15-12 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NO: Derek Carr-138
W 44-19 at Dallas CowboysNO: Derek Carr • DAL: Dak Prescott+255

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • WRJosh ReynoldsIR
  • CBPat Surtain IIOut
  • -Mike McGlincheyProbable
  • CBDamarri MathisProbable
  • LBBaron BrowningProbable
  • TAlex PalczewskiOut
  • RBTyler BadieOut
  • LBAlex SingletonOut for Season
  • CLuke WattenbergIR

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • CShane LemieuxIR
  • DBWill HarrisIR
  • OLLucas PatrickProbable
  • QBSpencer RattlerNamed Starter
  • WRChris OlaveOut
  • CCesar RuizOut
  • DTKhalen SaundersOut
  • LBPete WernerOut
  • QBTaysom HillOut
  • STyrann MathieuProbable
  • WRRashid ShaheedOut for Season
  • OLErik McCoyIR
  • QBDerek CarrOut
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver-125-150-150-145-145-145-145-133.2
New Orleans+105+130+130+125+125+125+130+133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+102-155-147-155-150-155-147-133.2
New Orleans-120+135+129+135+130+135+135+133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+0-110-3+102-2½-125-2½-116-3+100-2½-116-3+102-2½-105
New Orleans+0-110+3-118+2½+105+2½-104+3-120+2½-104+2½+105+2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+0-110-3-110-3+100-2½-120-3+100-2½-110-2½-110-2½-105
New Orleans+0-110+3-110+3-120+2½+100+3-120+2½+100+3-110+2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
New Orleans: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +0-108 to -1½-108
New Orleans Spread moved from +0+100 to +0-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
New Orleans: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
New Orleans: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +0-110 to -1½-110
New Orleans Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo37½-105o37-108o37-120o37-110o37-110o37-110o37-108o37+100
Underu37½-115u37-108u37+100u37-110u37-110u37-110u37+100u37+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo37-110o37½-110o37-110o37-110o37-110o37-110o37-110o37+100
Underu37-110u37½-110u37-110u37-110u37-110u37-110u37½-110u37+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-110 to o37-120
The Under moved from u37-110 to u36½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37-110 to o37½-110
The Under moved from u37-110 to u36-110
Buffalo at NY Jets
New England vs Jacksonville