Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
42.8%57.2%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
24.6Projected Points 27.2
30Final Score 20

New Orleans Saints

(3-7)
Rank23
P/G22.7
PA/G24.6
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank23
P/G22.7
PA/G24.6

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.716290.04012

Drew Brees

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.512245.0246

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 31-23 at Washington CommandersTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Alex Smith-470
W 27-44 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • TB: Tom Brady-320
W 47-7 at Detroit LionsTB: Tom Brady • DET: Matthew Stafford-660
W 31-27 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Matt Ryan-270
W 14-26 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • TB: Tom Brady-304
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 9-21 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Mitchell Trubisky • NO: Drew Brees-605
W 33-7 at Carolina PanthersNO: Drew Brees • CAR: Teddy Bridgewater-260
W 33-52 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • NO: Drew Brees-290
L 32-29 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NO: Drew Brees+130
L 21-24 at Philadelphia EaglesNO: Taysom Hill • PHI: Jalen Hurts-340

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • SAndrew AdamsProbable
  • SJordan WhiteheadProbable
  • LBDevin WhiteProbable
  • RBLeSean McCoyProbable
  • RBKenjon BarnerIR
  • DTJeremiah LedbetterOut
  • LBKevin MinterProbable
  • RBRonald Jones IIProbable
  • DEJason Pierre-PaulProbable
  • WRCyril GraysonIR
  • GAlex CappaOut for Season

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBLatavius MurrayOut
  • CWilliam ClappOut
  • WRTre'quan SmithIR
  • LBKwon AlexanderOut for Season
  • QBTaysom HillOut
  • CBPatrick RobinsonOut
  • DETrey HendricksonProbable
  • GNick EastonIR
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+120+115+118+120+118+120-
New Orleans-140-135-138-140-138-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+130+127+120+120+130+130-
New Orleans-150-145-140-140-150-140-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-110+3-125+2½-105+2½-104+2½-105+3-125-
New Orleans-2½-110-3+105-2½-115-2½-114-2½-115-2½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-110+2½+100+2½-110+3-120+2½+100+3-120-
New Orleans-2½-110-2½-120-2½-110-3+100-2½-120-2½-110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o53-110o53-115o53-108o53-109o53-108o53-108-
Underu49½-110u53-110u53-105u53-112u53-109u53-112u53-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o53½-110o53-110o53-110o53½-110o53-110o53-110-
Underu49-110u53½-110u53-110u53-110u53½-110u53-110u53½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53½-105 to o53-115
The Under moved from u53-110 to u53-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53-110 to o53½-110
The Under moved from u53½-110 to u53-110
Cleveland at Kansas City
Tampa Bay at Green Bay