Pittsburgh at Buffalo

Updated
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
48.5%51.5%
Pittsburgh WinBuffalo Win
23.4Projected Points 24.0
15Final Score 26
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Ben Roethlisberger

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.912259.0277

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.912284.0268

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
L 23-17 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Alex Smith • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-260
W 14-19 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Robert Griffin III • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-545
W 27-3 at Jacksonville JaguarsPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • JAX: Jake Luton-500
W 10-36 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-300
W 24-19 at Dallas CowboysPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • DAL: Garrett Gilbert-820
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 34-24 vs San Francisco 49ersBUF: Josh Allen • SF: Nick Mullens+110
W 17-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-200
L 30-32 at Arizona CardinalsBUF: Josh Allen • ARI: Kyler Murray+135
W 34-44 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Russell Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen+150
W 21-24 vs New England PatriotsNE: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen-200

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • NTChris WormleyProbable
  • KChris BoswellProbable
  • LBRobert SpillaneIR
  • LBBud DupreeOut for Season
  • CBSteven NelsonProbable
  • WRChase ClaypoolProbable
  • CMaurkice PounceyProbable
  • RBTrey EdmundsIR
  • TEZach GentryOut
  • RBJames ConnerProbable
  • LBVince WilliamsOut
  • LBUlysees Gilbert IIIProbable
  • CBJoe HadenOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • TCody FordIR
  • DETrent MurphyOut
  • SJaquan JohnsonOut
  • WRJohn BrownIR
  • TETyler KroftOut
  • TETommy SweeneyOut for Season
WSW 7 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)34°34°34°34°
Humidity82%81%80%79%
Precipitation2%2%2%2%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindWSW 7 mphW 6 mphW 6 mphWSW 5 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-135+115+104+108+110+104+115-
Buffalo+115-135-124-128-130-124-124-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-120+110+116+115+115+110+116-
Buffalo+102-130-134-135-135-130-130-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-2½-110+2-105+1½-105+1+102+2-109+1½-105+2-105-
Buffalo+2½-110-2-115-1½-115-1-122-2-109-1½-115-2-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-2½-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110-
Buffalo+2½-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +2-109 to +1½-114
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½-115 to -2½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½-110 to -2½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o49-105o49-112o48½-110o48½-109o49-112o49-105-
Underu47½-110u49-115u49-108u48½-110u48½-109u49-108u49-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o49-110o48½-105o48½-110o49-110o49-110o48½-105-
Underu47½-110u49-110u48½-115u48½-110u49-110u49-110u49-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-111
The Under moved from u49-108 to u48½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48½-115