Pittsburgh at Buffalo

Updated

Pittsburgh Steelers

(7-2)
Rank9
P/G23.9
PA/G16.2
48.5%51.5%
Pittsburgh WinBuffalo Win
23.4Projected Points 24.0
15Final Score 26

Buffalo Bills

(8-2)
Rank6
P/G29.0
PA/G19.3
Rank9
P/G23.9
PA/G16.2
Rank6
P/G29.0
PA/G19.3

Quarterbacks

Ben Roethlisberger

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.912259.0277

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.912284.0268

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
L 23-17 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Alex Smith • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-260
W 14-19 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Robert Griffin III • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-545
W 27-3 at Jacksonville JaguarsPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • JAX: Jake Luton-500
W 10-36 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger-300
W 24-19 at Dallas CowboysPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • DAL: Garrett Gilbert-820
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 34-24 vs San Francisco 49ersBUF: Josh Allen • SF: Nick Mullens+110
W 17-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-200
L 30-32 at Arizona CardinalsBUF: Josh Allen • ARI: Kyler Murray+135
W 34-44 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Russell Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen+150
W 21-24 vs New England PatriotsNE: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen-200

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • NTChris WormleyProbable
  • KChris BoswellProbable
  • LBRobert SpillaneIR
  • LBBud DupreeOut for Season
  • CBSteven NelsonProbable
  • WRChase ClaypoolProbable
  • CMaurkice PounceyProbable
  • RBTrey EdmundsIR
  • TEZach GentryOut
  • RBJames ConnerProbable
  • LBVince WilliamsOut
  • LBUlysees Gilbert IIIProbable
  • CBJoe HadenOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • TCody FordIR
  • DETrent MurphyOut
  • SJaquan JohnsonOut
  • WRJohn BrownIR
  • TETyler KroftOut
  • TETommy SweeneyOut for Season
WSW 7 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)34°34°34°34°
Humidity82%81%80%79%
Precipitation2%2%2%2%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindWSW 7 mphW 6 mphW 6 mphWSW 5 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-135+115+104+108+110+104+115-
Buffalo+115-135-124-128-130-124-124-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-120+110+116+115+115+110+116-
Buffalo+102-130-134-135-135-130-130-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-2½-110+2-105+1½-105+1+102+2-109+1½-105+2-105-
Buffalo+2½-110-2-115-1½-115-1-122-2-109-1½-115-2-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-2½-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110-
Buffalo+2½-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +2-109 to +1½-114
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½-115 to -2½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -2½-110 to -2½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o49-105o49-112o48½-110o48½-109o49-112o49-105-
Underu47½-110u49-115u49-108u48½-110u48½-109u49-108u49-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o49-110o48½-105o48½-110o49-110o49-110o48½-105-
Underu47½-110u49-110u48½-115u48½-110u49-110u49-110u49-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-111
The Under moved from u49-108 to u48½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48½-115
Washington vs San Francisco
Baltimore at Cleveland