New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank31
P/G16.0
PA/G22.0
34.1%65.9%
New England WinBuffalo Win
17.4Projected Points 21.8
21Final Score 24
Rank6
P/G29.0
PA/G19.3
Rank31
P/G16.0
PA/G22.0
Rank6
P/G29.0
PA/G19.3

Quarterbacks

Cam Newton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.25194.027

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.67288.0164

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 33-6 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Jimmy Garoppolo • NE: Cam Newton-155
L 18-12 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • NE: Cam Newton-325
L 10-26 at Kansas City ChiefsNE: Brian Hoyer • KC: Patrick Mahomes+525
W 20-36 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • NE: Cam Newton-300
L 30-35 at Seattle SeahawksNE: Cam Newton • SEA: Russell Wilson+195
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 18-10 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Sam Darnold-440
L 26-17 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen+210
L 16-42 at Tennessee TitansBUF: Josh Allen • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-159
W 30-23 at Las Vegas RaidersBUF: Josh Allen • VEG: Derek Carr-170
W 32-35 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Jared Goff • BUF: Josh Allen-130

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRN'Keal HarryOut
  • RBSony MichelUnknown
  • CBStephon GilmoreOut
  • LBBrandon CopelandOut for Season
  • GJustin HerronOut
  • LBShilique CalhounProbable
  • DEJohn SimonProbable
  • SKyle DuggerOut
  • OLShaq MasonProbable
  • OLJermaine EluemunorUnknown
  • DLLawrence GuyProbable
  • GJoe ThuneyProbable
  • WRJulian EdelmanOut
  • DBJ.C. JacksonProbable
  • SCody DavisUnknown
  • TEDalton KeeneOut
  • RBDamien HarrisProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • TCody FordOut
  • CBJosh NormanOut
  • CBLevi WallaceUnknown
  • DTVernon ButlerOut
  • LBMatt MilanoProbable
  • WRJohn BrownProbable
  • TELee SmithProbable
  • CBCam LewisProbable
  • DLQuinton JeffersonProbable
  • LBDel'Shawn PhillipsUnknown
  • LBTyrel DodsonUnknown
  • SMicah HydeOut
  • DEJerry HughesProbable
W 22 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
High on Under
 
Temp (°F)44°43°41°40°
Humidity91%86%80%78%
Precipitation62%54%37%30%
ConditionRainRainPossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindW 22 mphSW 22 mphWNW 23 mphW 23 mph
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+140+175+171+178+180+171+180-
Buffalo-160-210-196-215-210-196-196-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+163+190+190+175+190+195+190-
Buffalo-185-220-216-200-240-230-200-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-110+4-105+4-112+4½-110+4-109+4-112+4½-110-
Buffalo-3-110-4-115-4-108-4½-110-4-109-4-108-4-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-110+4½-110+4½-110+4-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-110-
Buffalo-3-110-4½-110-4½-110-4-110-4½-110-4½-110-4-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +4½-108 to +4½-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -3½-110 to -3½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3½+100 to +3½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -3½-110 to -3½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o41-115o41½-110o41-110o41-109o41½-110o41-109-
Underu45½-110u41-105u41½-110u41-110u41-109u41½-110u41½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o41½-110o41-110o41-110-
Underu44½-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u41½-110u41-110u41½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41-107 to o41½-110
The Under moved from u41-108 to u41-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41-110 to o41½-110
The Under moved from u41-110 to u40½-110