New England at Houston

Updated
Rank31
P/G16.0
PA/G22.0
54.0%46.0%
New England WinHouston Win
25.4Projected Points 23.7
20Final Score 27
Rank11
P/G22.4
PA/G22.6
Rank31
P/G16.0
PA/G22.0
Rank11
P/G22.4
PA/G22.6

Quarterbacks

Cam Newton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.88192.037

Deshaun Watson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.19282.0185

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 17-23 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • NE: Cam Newton+272
W 30-27 at New York JetsNE: Cam Newton • NYJ: Sam Darnold-385
L 21-24 at Buffalo BillsNE: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen+190
L 33-6 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Jimmy Garoppolo • NE: Cam Newton-155
L 18-12 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • NE: Cam Newton-325
Houston Texans
Money Line
L 7-10 at Cleveland BrownsHOU: Deshaun Watson • CLE: Baker Mayfield+210
W 27-25 at Jacksonville JaguarsHOU: Deshaun Watson • JAX: Jake Luton-290
L 35-20 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • HOU: Deshaun Watson+130
L 36-42 at Tennessee TitansHOU: Deshaun Watson • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+175
W 14-30 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Gardner Minshew II • HOU: Deshaun Watson-280

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRJulian EdelmanOut
  • RBSony MichelOut
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • GJustin HerronIR
  • WRMatthew SlaterProbable
  • TEDalton KeeneIR
  • WRN'Keal HarryProbable
  • RBJ.J. TaylorOut
  • LBBrandon CopelandOut for Season
  • TEDevin AsiasiIR
  • DLAdam ButlerOut
  • CBStephon GilmoreProbable

Houston Texans

Status
  • PBryan AngerProbable
  • GSenio KelemeteOut
  • RBDavid JohnsonIR
  • RBDuke Johnson Jr.Probable
  • LBJacob MartinProbable
  • DECharles OmenihuProbable
  • LBKyle EmanuelIR
  • LBBrennan ScarlettIR
  • LBDavin BellamyOut
  • WRKenny StillsProbable
  • FBCullen GillaspiaOut
  • TLaremy TunsilOut
  • SMichael ThomasOut for Season
NNE 2 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°79°79°80°
Humidity56%50%47%47%
Precipitation1%1%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindNNE 2 mphNNE 3 mphNNE 5 mphNNE 6 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+135-150-150-140-145-150-140-
Houston-155+130+130+120+125+130+130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-124-150-155-140-145-145-140-
Houston+106+130+136+120+125+125+136-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-115-2½-120-2½-125-2½-115-2½-114-2½-125-2½-114-
Houston-3-105+2½+100+2½+105+2½-105+2½-104+2½+105+2½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-110-2½-110-2½-120-2-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-110-
Houston-3-110+2½-110+2½+100+2-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -2½-117 to -2½-125
Houston Spread moved from +2-105 to +2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -2½-110 to -2½-120
Houston Spread moved from +2½-110 to +1½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-110o49-115o49-117o49½-110o49½-109o49-117o49½-109-
Underu47-110u49-105u49-103u49½-110u49½-109u49-103u49-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110-
Underu47-110u49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-109 to o49½-109
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-110 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u49-110