Carolina at New Orleans

Updated

Carolina Panthers

(3-11)
Rank32
P/G17.6
PA/G29.9
41.2%58.8%
Carolina WinNew Orleans Win
19.9Projected Points 22.9
10Final Score 18

New Orleans Saints

(5-9)
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3
Rank32
P/G17.6
PA/G29.9
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Sam Darnold

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
58.39218.0711

Taysom Hill

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
55.7765.025

Last 5 Games

Carolina Panthers
Money Line
L 32-6 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • CAR: Cam Newton+415
L 14-31 at Buffalo BillsCAR: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen+630
L 29-21 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • CAR: Cam Newton-140
L 10-33 at Miami DolphinsCAR: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-120
L 27-21 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Taylor Heinicke • CAR: Phillip Walker-170
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 20-3 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NO: Taysom Hill+155
W 9-0 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNO: Trevor Siemian • TB: Tom Brady+480
W 30-9 at New York JetsNO: Taysom Hill • NYJ: Zach Wilson-200
L 27-17 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • NO: Taysom Hill+250
L 31-6 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NO: Trevor Siemian+245

Injuries

Carolina Panthers

Status
  • QBSam DarnoldNamed Starter
  • LBJermaine CarterProbable
  • OLPat ElfleinProbable
  • DEMarquis HaynesProbable
  • CBC.J. HendersonProbable
  • CBA.J. BouyeIR
  • OLSam TecklenburgProbable
  • KZane GonzalezOut for Season
  • SSean ChandlerDoubtful
  • DTDaviyon NixonIR
  • LBHaason ReddickProbable
  • TCameron ErvingDoubtful
  • CBStephon GilmoreOut
  • SJuston BurrisProbable
  • LBBrian BurnsProbable
  • QBP.J. WalkerProbable
  • CBRashaan MelvinProbable
  • LBShaq ThompsonProbable
  • WRBrandon ZylstraProbable
  • DTPhil HoskinsProbable
  • DEDarryl JohnsonQuestionable
  • DTDerrick BrownProbable

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBTy MontgomeryProbable
  • DBJ.T. GrayProbable
  • DBJeff HeathProbable
  • RBDwayne WashingtonProbable
  • RBMark Ingram IIDoubtful
  • TENick VannettProbable
  • TTerron ArmsteadOut
  • WRDeonte HarrisProbable
  • TEGarrett GriffinIR
  • DEChristian RingoProbable
  • TJordan MillsProbable
  • WRJuwan JohnsonProbable
  • TRyan RamczykProbable
  • QBTaysom HillProbable
  • OLErik McCoyOut
  • DECameron JordanOut
  • DECarl GrandersonProbable
  • SMalcolm JenkinsProbable
  • LBDemario DavisProbable
  • LBKaden EllissProbable
  • SMarcus WilliamsOut
  • QBTrevor SiemianUnknown
  • TEAdam TrautmanProbable
  • WRTre'quan SmithOut
  • LBKwon AlexanderProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Jerome Boger
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Carolina+265+265+235+240+250+235+265+236.2
New Orleans-325-330-280-280-300-280-280-236.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Carolina+296+240+240+250+250+250+250+236.2
New Orleans-350-280-280-300-300-300-280-236.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Carolina+7-115+7-110+7-117+7-120+7-114+7-117+7-110+7-113
New Orleans-7-105-7-110-7-103-7+100-7-104-7-103-7+100-7+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Carolina+7½-110+7-110+6½-105+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-113
New Orleans-7½-110-7-110-6½-115-7-110-7-110-7-110-6½-115-7+113

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Carolina: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Carolina: 50.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Carolina: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Carolina: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Carolina: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Carolina Spread moved from +7-105 to +7-115
New Orleans Spread moved from -6½-109 to -7-109

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Carolina: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Carolina: 50.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Carolina: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Carolina: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Carolina: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Carolina Spread moved from +7-115 to +6½-110
New Orleans Spread moved from -6½-110 to -7-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o37-110o37-115o37-110o37-109o37-115o37-109o37-110
Underu40½-110u37-110u37-105u37-110u37-109u37-105u37-105u37+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38-110o37-110o37-110o37-110o37½-110o37-110o37-110o37-110
Underu38-110u37-110u37-110u37-110u37½-110u37-110u37½-110u37+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37-110 to o37-116
The Under moved from u37½-109 to u37-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37-110 to o37½-110
The Under moved from u37½-110 to u37-110
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