Buffalo at New Orleans

Updated

Buffalo Bills

(11-3)
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
60.1%39.9%
Buffalo WinNew Orleans Win
25.6Projected Points 22.2
31Final Score 6

New Orleans Saints

(5-9)
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.710281.0218

Trevor Siemian

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
56.93230.082

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 41-15 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Carson Wentz • BUF: Josh Allen-290
W 45-17 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Mike White-745
L 6-9 at Jacksonville JaguarsBUF: Josh Allen • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-1200
W 11-26 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-1060
L 31-34 at Tennessee TitansBUF: Josh Allen • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-250
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 29-40 at Philadelphia EaglesNO: Trevor Siemian • PHI: Jalen Hurts+150
L 21-23 at Tennessee TitansNO: Trevor Siemian • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+135
L 27-25 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • NO: Trevor Siemian-290
W 27-36 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston+180
W 13-10 at Seattle SeahawksNO: Jameis Winston • SEA: Geno Smith-230

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTremaine EdmundsProbable
  • GJon FelicianoIR

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBTy MontgomeryProbable
  • QBJameis WinstonOut for Season
  • RBMark Ingram IIOut
  • DEPayton TurnerIR
  • TEAdam TrautmanOut
  • RBAlvin KamaraOut
  • GAndrus PeatIR
  • DETanoh KpassagnonOut
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • DEMarcus DavenportOut
  • TRyan RamczykOut
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-225-290-300-270-300-300-270-258.1
New Orleans+185+240+250+230+250+250+250+258.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-215-280-275-270-290-280-270-258.1
New Orleans+185+240+237+230+245+240+245+258.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-4½-110-7-115-7-107-7½+115-7-109-7-107-7½+115-7+107
New Orleans+4½-110+7-105+7-113+7½-135+7-109+7-113+7-105+7-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-4½-110-7-110-7-105-7-110-7-110-7-110-7-105-7+107
New Orleans+4½-110+7-110+7-115+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New Orleans: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New Orleans: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -6½-109 to -7-104
New Orleans Spread moved from +7-115 to +6½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New Orleans: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -7+100 to -7-110
New Orleans Spread moved from +7-110 to +7-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o45-105o45-105o45-110o45-109o45-105o45-105o45+102
Underu48-110u45-115u45-115u45-110u45-109u45-115u45-109u45-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o45-110o45-110o45-110o45½-110o45-110o45-110o45+102
Underu48-110u45-110u45-110u45-110u45½-110u45-110u45½-110u45-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u45-113 to u45-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
Las Vegas at Dallas
Tennessee at New England