Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-6)
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
54.9%45.1%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
26.7Projected Points 24.6
27Final Score 36

New Orleans Saints

(5-9)
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.07325.0213

Jameis Winston

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.55201.0131

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 3-38 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Tom Brady-695
W 28-22 at Philadelphia EaglesTB: Tom Brady • PHI: Jalen Hurts-290
W 17-45 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Jacoby Brissett • TB: Tom Brady-600
W 19-17 at New England PatriotsTB: Tom Brady • NE: Mac Jones-276
L 24-34 at Los Angeles RamsTB: Tom Brady • LAR: Matthew Stafford-105
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 13-10 at Seattle SeahawksNO: Jameis Winston • SEA: Geno Smith-230
W 33-22 at Washington CommandersNO: Jameis Winston • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-135
L 27-21 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • NO: Jameis Winston-332
W 28-13 at New England PatriotsNO: Jameis Winston • NE: Mac Jones+130
L 7-26 at Carolina PanthersNO: Jameis Winston • CAR: Sam Darnold-150

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DLNdamukong SuhProbable
  • CBCarlton DavisIR
  • DEJason Pierre-PaulProbable
  • LBLavonte DavidProbable
  • CBRichard ShermanProbable
  • WRAntonio BrownOut
  • TERob GronkowskiProbable
  • CBDee DelaneyOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBDwayne WashingtonOut
  • QBTaysom HillOut
  • DEPayton TurnerOut
  • RBTony Jones Jr.Out
  • CBMarshon LattimoreProbable
  • GAndrus PeatDoubtful
  • WRDeonte HarrisProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-235-210-191-200-195-191-191-172.0
New Orleans+200+175+166+170+170+166+175+172.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-215-190-195-210-196-185-185-172.0
New Orleans+185+170+173+180+173+165+180+172.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-4-110-4-110-3½-110-4-110-4-109-3½-110-3½-110-4+107
New Orleans+4-110+4-110+3½-110+4-110+4-109+3½-110+4-109+4-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-4½-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4+107
New Orleans+4½-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
New Orleans: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½-106 to -3½-112
New Orleans Spread moved from +4-105 to +3½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
New Orleans: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -4+100 to -4-110
New Orleans Spread moved from +4-110 to +4-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o48½-105o48½-105o48½-110o48-109o48½-105o48-109o48½+108
Underu50½-110u48½-115u48½-115u48½-110u48-109u48½-115u48½-110u48½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50-110o48½-110o48-110o48½-110o49-110o48½-110o48-110o48½+108
Underu50-110u48½-110u48-110u48½-110u49-110u48½-110u49-110u48½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-105 to o48½-110
The Under moved from u48½-109 to u48-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-110
The Under moved from u49-110 to u48-110
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