Tampa Bay at New England

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
67.0%33.0%
Tampa Bay WinNew England Win
25.7Projected Points 20.8
19Final Score 17

New England Patriots

(3-7)
Rank31
P/G16.0
PA/G22.0
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank31
P/G16.0
PA/G22.0

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.83362.0102

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.53246.023

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 24-34 at Los Angeles RamsTB: Tom Brady • LAR: Matthew Stafford-105
W 25-48 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • TB: Tom Brady-745
W 29-31 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • TB: Tom Brady-430
W 9-31 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady+146
W 31-26 at Green Bay PackersTB: Tom Brady • GB: Aaron Rodgers+165
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 28-13 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Jameis Winston • NE: Mac Jones-145
W 25-6 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-233
L 17-16 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones-185
W 14-28 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • NE: Cam Newton-160
L 38-9 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Cam Newton+300

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LSZach TrinerIR
  • CBRichard ShermanProbable
  • CBSean Murphy-BuntingIR
  • WRJaydon MickensProbable
  • SCurtis RileyIR
  • GJohn MolchonIR
  • GSadarius HutchersonIR
  • LBCam GillIR
  • RBGiovani BernardOut
  • TERob GronkowskiOut
  • CDonell StanleyIR
  • TBrad SeatonIR
  • CBCarlton DavisProbable
  • LBKevin MinterProbable
  • WRAntonio BrownProbable
  • WRScotty MillerIR
  • DEJason Pierre-PaulOut
  • CBJamel DeanOut

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBRaekwon McMillanIR
  • LBJosh UcheProbable
  • TETroy FumagalliIR
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyOut
  • TTrent BrownOut
  • SKyle DuggerProbable
  • LBAnfernee JenningsIR
  • WRN'Keal HarryProbable
  • WRMalcolm PerryIR
  • PKQuinn NordinIR
  • RBJames WhiteIR
  • TEDalton KeeneIR
  • PKNick FolkProbable
  • LBKyle Van NoyProbable
  • CBJ.C. JacksonProbable
  • TIsaiah WynnProbable
ENE 5 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°60°59°59°
Humidity94%95%96%97%
Precipitation34%39%38%48%
ConditionPossible Light RainPossible Light RainPossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindENE 5 mphENE 5 mphENE 5 mphENE 5 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-240-320-285-300-290-285-285-235.2
New England+200+260+240+240+245+240+260+235.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-250-320-276-300-320-275-276-235.2
New England+210+260+238+250+260+235+260+235.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-5½-110-7-105-6½-105-7-105-6½-104-6½-105-6½-104-6½+109
New England+5½-110+7-115+6½-115+7-115+6½-114+6½-115+7-115+6½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-5½-110-6½-110-6½-110-7+105-7-105-6½-110-7+105-6½+109
New England+5½-110+6½-110+6½-110+7-125+7-115+6½-110+7-115+6½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New England: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -6½-110 to -7-105
New England Spread moved from +7-121 to +6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New England: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -6½-110 to -7-110
New England Spread moved from +7-110 to +6½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o49-105o49-110o49-110o49-109o49-110o49-105o49½+104
Underu50½-110u49-115u49-110u49-110u49-109u49-110u49-109u49½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49-110o49½+104
Underu49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49-110u49-110u49-110u49½-110u49½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-109 to o49½-109
The Under moved from u49½-109 to u49-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-110 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u49-110
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