Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(9-0)
Rank1
P/G24.3
PA/G17.9
58.5%41.5%
Kansas City WinTampa Bay Win
28.9Projected Points 25.9
9Final Score 31

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank1
P/G24.3
PA/G17.9
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.315316.0386

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.716290.04012

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 24-38 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-155
W 17-22 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • KC: Patrick Mahomes-410
L 38-21 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Chad Henne+250
W 14-17 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • KC: Patrick Mahomes-525
W 32-29 at New Orleans SaintsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NO: Drew Brees-140
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 31-26 at Green Bay PackersTB: Tom Brady • GB: Aaron Rodgers+165
W 30-20 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Drew Brees+130
W 31-23 at Washington CommandersTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Alex Smith-470
W 27-44 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • TB: Tom Brady-320
W 47-7 at Detroit LionsTB: Tom Brady • DET: Matthew Stafford-660

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRDemarcus RobinsonProbable
  • TEric FisherOut
  • WRSammy WatkinsProbable
  • CDaniel KilgoreProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • CBL'Jarius SneedProbable
  • RBLe'Veon BellProbable
  • CBRashad FentonProbable
  • SArmani WattsProbable

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • TECameron BrateProbable
  • SJordan WhiteheadDoubtful
  • LBJack CichyOut for Season
  • GAlex CappaOut for Season
  • LBLavonte DavidProbable
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Probable
  • WRAntonio BrownProbable
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-170-165-160-161-165-161-160-
Tampa Bay+150+144+140+141+145+141+145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-160-155-165-160-160-155-155-
Tampa Bay+140+145+146+140+140+145+146-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3½-105-3-110-3-110-3-107-3-109-3-107-3-107-
Tampa Bay+3½-115+3-110+3-110+3-113+3-109+3-113+3-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3½-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-106-3-106-
Tampa Bay+3½-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-104+3-104-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3-106 to -3-114
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3-105 to +3-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3+100 to +3-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57-110o55-110o55½-105o55½-105o55-109o55½-105o55-109-
Underu57-110u55-110u55½-115u55½-115u55-109u55½-115u55½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57½-110o55-110o55-110o55½-110o55½-110o55-110o55-110-
Underu57½-110u55-110u55-110u55½-110u55½-110u55-110u55½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55-101 to o55-110
The Under moved from u55½-110 to u55½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55½-110 to o56-110
The Under moved from u55½-110 to u55-110
Buffalo at Kansas City
Dallas at Tampa Bay