Buffalo at Kansas City

Updated

Buffalo Bills

(11-3)
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
37.5%62.5%
Buffalo WinKansas City Win
24.0Projected Points 27.3
24Final Score 38

Kansas City Chiefs

(13-1)
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.216284.03710

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.315316.0386

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 3-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 24-27 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Philip Rivers • BUF: Josh Allen-320
W 26-56 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+160
W 38-9 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Cam Newton-335
W 48-19 at Denver BroncosBUF: Josh Allen • DEN: Drew Lock-250
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 17-22 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • KC: Patrick Mahomes-410
L 38-21 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Chad Henne+250
W 14-17 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • KC: Patrick Mahomes-525
W 32-29 at New Orleans SaintsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NO: Drew Brees-140
W 33-27 at Miami DolphinsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-335

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRGabriel DavisProbable
  • WRCole BeasleyProbable
  • DEDarryl JohnsonProbable
  • RBZack MossOut for Season
  • DTVernon ButlerProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • CBBashaud BreelandProbable
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireProbable
  • WRSammy WatkinsOut
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • RBLe'Veon BellOut
  • CBDeandre BakerOut for Season
  • QBPatrick MahomesProbable
  • CBRashad FentonProbable
NE 8 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)38°37°36°36°
Humidity78%79%79%81%
Precipitation3%0%3%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 8 mphNE 9 mphENE 9 mphENE 9 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+130+139+140+138+145+138+145-
Kansas City-150-160-160-158-165-158-158-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+175+140+136+140+140+140+140-
Kansas City-200-160-155-160-160-160-155-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+5-110+3-116+3-115+3-110+3-114+3-110+3-110-
Kansas City-5-110-3-104-3-105-3-110-3-104-3-110-3-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+4-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-120+3-110-
Kansas City-4-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3+100-3+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +3-110 to +3-116
Kansas City Spread moved from -3-101 to -3-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +3-110 to +3-120
Kansas City Spread moved from -3+100 to -3-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52½-110o55-108o55-110o55-110o54½-109o55-110o54½-109-
Underu52½-110u55-112u55-110u55-110u54½-109u55-110u55-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo56-110o56-110o55-110o55½-110o55-110o55½-110o55-110-
Underu56-110u56-110u55-110u55½-110u55-110u55½-110u56-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-114 to o55-109
The Under moved from u55-109 to u54½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55½-110 to o56-110
The Under moved from u54-110 to u53½-110
Tampa Bay at Green Bay
Kansas City at Tampa Bay