Miami at Buffalo

Updated
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
45.5%54.5%
Miami WinBuffalo Win
23.5Projected Points 25.2
26Final Score 56
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.18161.0102

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.115288.0349

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 26-25 at Las Vegas RaidersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • VEG: Derek Carr-133
W 12-22 vs New England PatriotsNE: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+105
L 33-27 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+300
W 7-19 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Brandon Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-500
W 20-3 at New York JetsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NYJ: Sam Darnold-320
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 38-9 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Cam Newton-335
W 48-19 at Denver BroncosBUF: Josh Allen • DEN: Drew Lock-250
W 15-26 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-130
W 34-24 vs San Francisco 49ersBUF: Josh Allen • SF: Nick Mullens+110
W 17-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-200

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • WRJakeem GrantOut
  • GSolomon KindleyProbable
  • LBElandon RobertsOut
  • QBRyan FitzpatrickOut
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable
  • DEShaq LawsonProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • RBT.J. YeldonProbable
  • WRCole BeasleyOut
  • WRJohn BrownProbable
  • TETyler KroftOut
  • SJosh ThomasProbable
  • FBReggie GilliamOut
  • RBChristian WadeProbable
SSW 3 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)36°36°37°37°
Humidity96%94%92%93%
Precipitation26%29%24%21%
ConditionPossible DrizzlePossible DrizzleOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 3 mphSW 3 mphSW 4 mphWSW 4 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+205-170-165-168-170-165-165-
Buffalo-245+150+145+148+150+145+150-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-118-180-175-170-180-165-165-
Buffalo+100+160+155+150+155+145+160-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+5½-110-3-115-3½+102-3-120-3-119-3½+102-3-115-
Buffalo-5½-110+3-105+3½-122+3+100+3+101+3½-122+3+101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+5½-110-3-110-3½+100-3-120-3½+100-3-120-3-110-
Buffalo-5½-110+3-110+3½-120+3+100+3½-120+3+100+3+100-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Miami: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 50.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from -3½+105 to -3-120
Buffalo Spread moved from +3½-114 to +3½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 50.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from -3-120 to -3½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from +3½-110 to +3½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o42½-110o42½-106o42½-110o42½-109o42½-106o42½-106-
Underu43½-110u42½-110u42½-114u42½-110u42½-109u42½-114u42½-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o42-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42-110-
Underu43½-110u42-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u42½-107 to u42½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42-110 to o42½-110
The Under moved from u42½-105 to u42½-110