Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
68.7%31.3%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
25.8Projected Points 20.6
38Final Score 9
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.714286.0309

Cam Newton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.913183.0510

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 48-19 at Denver BroncosBUF: Josh Allen • DEN: Drew Lock-250
W 15-26 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-130
W 34-24 vs San Francisco 49ersBUF: Josh Allen • SF: Nick Mullens+110
W 17-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-200
L 30-32 at Arizona CardinalsBUF: Josh Allen • ARI: Kyler Murray+135
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 12-22 at Miami DolphinsNE: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-120
L 3-24 at Los Angeles RamsNE: Cam Newton • LAR: Jared Goff+195
W 45-0 at Los Angeles ChargersNE: Cam Newton • LAC: Justin Herbert+116
W 17-20 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • NE: Cam Newton+115
L 20-27 at Houston TexansNE: Cam Newton • HOU: Deshaun Watson-140

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • SJosh ThomasOut
  • TTy NsekheProbable
  • RBT.J. YeldonOut
  • WRStefon DiggsProbable
  • WRJohn BrownOut
  • RBChristian WadeOut
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteProbable
  • SJaquan JohnsonProbable
  • TCody FordIR
  • FBReggie GilliamOut

New England Patriots

Status
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • DTIsaiah MackOut
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyOut
  • WRJulian EdelmanIR
  • CBStephon GilmoreOut for Season
  • TERyan IzzoIR
SW 6 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)40°39°38°38°
Humidity83%84%84%85%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindSW 6 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mphS 7 mph
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-220-380-350-350-350-350-350-
New England+180+290+280+290+275+280+290-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-320-360-335-340-350-340-335-
New England+272+300+285+280+270+280+300-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-4½-110-7½-105-7-110-7½+105-7-109-7-110-7½+105-
New England+4½-110+7½-115+7-110+7½-125+7-109+7-110+7½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-4½-110-7-110-7½+100-7-110-7½+100-7-110-7-110-
New England+4½-110+7-110+7½-120+7-110+7½-120+7-110+7½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 60.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -7-110 to -7-116
New England Spread moved from +7-103 to +7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 60.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -7-120 to -7½-120
New England Spread moved from +7½+100 to +7½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o47-110o47-112o47-110o47-109o47-112o47-109-
Underu45-110u47-110u47-108u47-110u47-109u47-108u47-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o47-110o47-105o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-105-
Underu45-110u47-110u47-115u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-113 to o47-115
The Under moved from u47-105 to u47-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o47½-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u47-115