Miami at Buffalo

Updated

Miami Dolphins

(6-8)
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
9.5%90.5%
WinBuffalo Win
11.2Projected Points 33.3
11Final Score 26

Buffalo Bills

(11-3)
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.54209.074

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.86287.0153

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 30-28 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+112
L 20-23 vs Jacksonville JaguarsMIA: Jacoby Brissett • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-125
L 17-45 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersMIA: Jacoby Brissett • TB: Tom Brady+500
L 27-17 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Carson Wentz • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-140
L 28-31 at Las Vegas RaidersMIA: Jacoby Brissett • VEG: Derek Carr+170
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 31-34 at Tennessee TitansBUF: Josh Allen • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-250
W 38-20 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+130
W 0-40 vs Houston TexansHOU: Davis Mills • BUF: Josh Allen-1780
W 21-43 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Taylor Heinicke • BUF: Josh Allen-323
W 35-0 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-182

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • CBNoah IgbinogheneProbable
  • RBMalcolm BrownIR
  • DBJason McCourtyIR
  • WRWill Fuller VIR
  • LBJerome BakerOut
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • TSpencer BrownDoubtful
  • TEDawson KnoxOut
  • DTJustin ZimmerOut
SSW 12 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Moderate on Under
 
Temp (°F)51°52°53°54°
Humidity97%93%90%87%
Precipitation22%22%17%9%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 12 mphW 13 mphW 14 mphW 15 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+580+725+660+725+710+660+725+764.2
Buffalo-800-1300-1000-1100-1010-1000-1000-764.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+600+850+760+750+775+750+850+764.2
Buffalo-900-1500-1060-1200-1300-1200-1060-764.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+12-110+15-110+14½-110+15-110+15-109+14½-110+15-109+15+104
Buffalo-12-110-15-110-14½-110-15-110-15-109-14½-110-14½-110-15-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+13-110+15½-110+14½-110+15-110+14½-110+14½-110+15½-110+15+104
Buffalo-13-110-15½-110-14½-110-15-110-14½-110-14½-110-14½-110-15-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +15-110 to +14½-107
Buffalo Spread moved from -14½-109 to -15-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +15-110 to +14½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -14½-110 to -15-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o48½-110o48½-112o48½-110o48½-109o48½-112o48½-109o48½-106
Underu49-110u48½-110u48½-108u48½-110u48½-109u48½-108u48½-108u48½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o49-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-106
Underu49-110u49-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-110u49-110u48½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o48½-112
The Under moved from u48½-105 to u48-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48-110 to o48½-110
The Under moved from u49-110 to u48½-110
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