Buffalo at Miami

Updated

Buffalo Bills

(11-3)
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
58.2%41.8%
Buffalo WinMiami Win
25.7Projected Points 22.8
35Final Score 0

Miami Dolphins

(6-8)
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
58.81270.010

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.31202.011

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 23-16 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-260
L 24-38 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+140
W 3-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 24-27 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Philip Rivers • BUF: Josh Allen-320
W 26-56 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+160
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 17-16 at New England PatriotsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+170
L 26-56 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-165
W 26-25 at Las Vegas RaidersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • VEG: Derek Carr-133
W 12-22 vs New England PatriotsNE: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+105
L 33-27 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+300

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DTHarrison PhillipsOut
  • WRGabriel DavisProbable
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieProbable
  • DEBryan Cox Jr.IR
  • WRMarquez StevensonIR
  • DTStar LotuleleiProbable
  • DEEfe ObadaOut

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • LBVince BiegelIR
  • WRWill Fuller VOut
  • LBRaekwon DavisIR
  • CBJaytlin AskewIR
  • WRPreston WilliamsProbable
  • TEAdam ShaheenProbable
  • TLarnel ColemanIR
  • WRAllen HurnsIR
  • WRLynn Bowden Jr.IR
E 6 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°90°89°88°
Humidity64%62%64%66%
Precipitation5%10%9%15%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindE 6 mphE 7 mphESE 7 mphE 8 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-180-185-190-190-190-190-185-167.5
Miami+160+160+165+165+165+165+165+167.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-180-190-182-200-190-190-182-167.5
Miami+160+170+162+175+170+170+175+167.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3-110-3½-110-3½+100-3½-110-3½-109-3½+100-3½+100-3½+108
Miami+3-110+3½-110+3½-120+3½-110+3½-109+3½-120+3½-109+3½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3-110-3½-110-3½-110-4-110-3½-105-3½-110-3½-105-3½+108
Miami+3-110+3½-110+3½-110+4-110+3½-115+3½-110+4-110+3½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3-114 to -3-124
Miami Spread moved from +3½-105 to +3½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-110
Miami Spread moved from +3+105 to +3-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o48-110o47½-110o48-110o47½-109o47½-110o47½-109o48-103
Underu48½-110u48-110u47½-110u48-110u47½-109u47½-110u48-110u48+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o47½-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o48-103
Underu47½-110u47½-110u48-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u48+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o47½-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47½-110
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