Washington at Buffalo

Updated

Washington Commanders

(9-5)
Rank15
P/G28.3
PA/G22.5
17.4%82.6%
WinBuffalo Win
14.9Projected Points 27.9
21Final Score 43

Buffalo Bills

(11-3)
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank15
P/G28.3
PA/G22.5
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Taylor Heinicke

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.81229.031

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
56.02224.031

Last 5 Games

Washington Commanders
Money Line
W 29-30 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-200
L 20-16 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • WAS: Ryan Fitzpatrick-130
L 31-23 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Alex Smith+415
W 20-14 at Philadelphia EaglesWAS: Alex Smith • PHI: Jalen Hurts-270
L 20-13 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Teddy Bridgewater • WAS: Dwayne Haskins+100
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 35-0 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-182
L 23-16 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-260
L 24-38 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+140
W 3-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen-135
W 24-27 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Philip Rivers • BUF: Josh Allen-320

Injuries

Washington Commanders

Status
  • RBAntonio GibsonProbable
  • SDarrick ForrestIR
  • QBRyan FitzpatrickIR
  • DEJalen JelksIR
  • DBJimmy MorelandIR
  • DLMatt IoannidisOut
  • WRCurtis SamuelIR

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DEEfe ObadaProbable
  • CBDane JacksonProbable
  • WRMarquez StevensonIR
  • CBLevi WallaceProbable
  • DEBryan Cox Jr.IR
  • DTStar LotuleleiProbable
W 18 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
High on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°66°67°66°
Humidity65%59%58%57%
Precipitation3%2%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 18 mphW 19 mphW 19 mphWSW 18 mph
Tony Corrente
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington+340+280+285+260+270+285+285+282.8
Buffalo-440-360-355-340-340-355-340-282.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington+400+300+275+300+285+270+300+282.8
Buffalo-500-360-323-360-345-330-323-282.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington+9½-110+7-110+7-108+7-110+7-109+7-108+7-108+7½-112
Buffalo-9½-110-7-110-7-112-7-110-7-109-7-112-7-109-7½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington+9½-110+7-110+7-105+7+100+7-105+7-110+7+100+7½-112
Buffalo-9½-110-7-110-7-115-7-120-7-115-7-110-7-110-7½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Washington: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Washington: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Washington: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Washington: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Washington: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Washington Spread moved from +7½-110 to +7-105
Buffalo Spread moved from -8-110 to -9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Washington: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Washington: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Washington: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Washington: 80.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Washington: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Washington Spread moved from +7½-110 to +7-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -7-110 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-110o45½-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-109o45½-110o45½-109o45½-100
Underu47-110u45½-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-109u45½-110u46-110u45½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o45-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110o45-110o45½-100
Underu41½-110u45-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o45½-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
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