Houston at Buffalo

Updated
Rank11
P/G22.4
PA/G22.6
7.2%92.8%
WinBuffalo Win
13.4Projected Points 36.9
0Final Score 40
Rank6
P/G29.0
PA/G19.3
Rank11
P/G22.4
PA/G22.6
Rank6
P/G29.0
PA/G19.3

Quarterbacks

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
58.71135.021

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.23269.071

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
L 24-9 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • HOU: Davis Mills+348
L 21-31 at Cleveland BrownsHOU: Tyrod Taylor • CLE: Baker Mayfield+600
W 21-37 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Tyrod Taylor+152
L 41-38 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • HOU: Deshaun Watson+300
L 37-31 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Brandon Allen • HOU: Deshaun Watson-330
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 21-43 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Taylor Heinicke • BUF: Josh Allen-323
W 35-0 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-182
L 23-16 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-260
L 24-38 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+140
W 3-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen-135

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • LBZach CunninghamOut
  • SA.J. MooreIR
  • CBTerrance MitchellProbable
  • CBCornell ArmstrongIR
  • WRNico CollinsIR
  • QBTyrod TaylorIR
  • SJustin ReidProbable
  • LBKevin Pierre-LouisIR
  • WRDanny AmendolaOut
  • LBTae DavisIR
  • DTVincent TaylorIR
  • DTRoss BlacklockOut
  • KKa'imi FairbairnProbable
  • LBKamu Grugier-HillProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • SJordan PoyerOut
  • DEBryan Cox Jr.IR
  • CBTaron JohnsonOut
  • WRMarquez StevensonIR
  • DEEfe ObadaOut
  • GJon FelicianoOut
SSW 10 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)67°68°70°69°
Humidity100%100%98%99%
Precipitation52%51%48%41%
ConditionPossible Light RainPossible Light RainPossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindSSW 10 mphSW 9 mphSW 8 mphSW 6 mph
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+960+850+750+950+1140+750+1140+1022.1
Buffalo-1460-1700-2000-1600-1790-2000-1600-1022.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+1200+1000+1100+1200+1070+1000+1200+1022.1
Buffalo-2400-2000-1780-2400-2200-2000-1780-1022.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+17½-110+18-110+18½-110+18½-110+18½-109+18½-110+18½-109+19-102
Buffalo-17½-110-18-110-18½-110-18½-110-18½-109-18½-110-18½-109-19+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+17½-110+18-110+18-110+18½-110+18-110+18-110+18½-110+19-102
Buffalo-17½-110-18-110-18-110-18½-110-18-110-18-110-18-110-19+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +17½-109 to +17-109
Buffalo Spread moved from -18-110 to -18½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +17½-110 to +17-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -18-110 to -18½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-109o47½-110o47½-109o47½+100
Underu47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-109u47½-110u47½-109u47½-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½+100
Underu47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-109 to o47½-109
The Under moved from u47-104 to u47-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o47½-110
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47-110