Miami at Las Vegas

Updated

Miami Dolphins

(6-8)
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
30.8%69.2%
Miami WinLas Vegas Win
21.1Projected Points 26.5
28Final Score 31

Las Vegas Raiders

(2-12)
Rank30
P/G17.5
PA/G26.9
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank30
P/G17.5
PA/G26.9

Quarterbacks

Jacoby Brissett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.0084.001

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.72408.041

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 35-0 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+175
W 17-16 at New England PatriotsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+170
L 26-56 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-165
W 26-25 at Las Vegas RaidersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • VEG: Derek Carr-133
W 12-22 vs New England PatriotsNE: Cam Newton • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+105
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
W 26-17 at Pittsburgh SteelersVEG: Derek Carr • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+201
W 27-33 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • VEG: Derek Carr+147
W 32-31 at Denver BroncosVEG: Derek Carr • DEN: Drew Lock-150
L 26-25 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • VEG: Derek Carr+120
L 30-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • VEG: Derek Carr-175

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • CBJaytlin AskewIR
  • WRAllen HurnsIR
  • TLarnel ColemanIR
  • LBRaekwon DavisIR
  • WRLynn Bowden Jr.IR
  • LBVince BiegelIR
  • QBTua TagovailoaIR

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • LBNick KwiatkoskiProbable
  • LBNicholas MorrowIR
  • RBJalen RichardIR
  • DTGerald McCoyOut for Season
  • CBKeisean NixonIR
  • SDallin LeavittOut
  • SRoderic Teamer Jr.Out
  • LBJavin WhiteIR
  • OLAlex LeatherwoodProbable
  • GRichie IncognitoIR
  • GDenzelle GoodOut for Season
  • QBMarcus MariotaIR
  • RBJosh JacobsDoubtful
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+200+165+172+165+170+172+172+180.1
Las Vegas-240-195-197-190-195-197-190-180.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+170+155+168+165+170+170+170+180.1
Las Vegas-190-175-190-185-190-190-175-180.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+1-110+3½-105+3½-104+3½-110+3½-109+3½-104+3½-104+4-102
Las Vegas-1-110-3½-115-3½-116-3½-110-3½-109-3½-116-3½-109-4+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+4-110+3½-110+3½-105+3½-110+3½-105+3½-110+4-110+4-102
Las Vegas-4-110-3½-110-3½-115-3½-110-3½-115-3½-110-3½-110-4+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 80.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +3½-105 to +3½-115
Las Vegas Spread moved from -5-110 to -5½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +3½-115 to +3-105
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-110o45-110o45-115o45-110o45-109o45-115o45-109o45-105
Underu47-110u45-110u45-105u45-110u45-109u45-105u45-105u45+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o44½-110o45½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o45-105
Underu45½-110u44½-110u45½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u45½-110u45+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o45-115
The Under moved from u44-110 to u44-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45½-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110
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