New England at Pittsburgh

Updated

New England Patriots

(3-11)
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
50.2%49.8%
New England WinPittsburgh Win
21.6Projected Points 21.4
17Final Score 14

Pittsburgh Steelers

(10-4)
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.01213.011

Mitchell Trubisky

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
55.31194.010

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 7-20 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+150
L 17-47 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+205
L 24-33 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-230
W 10-50 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NE: Mac Jones-1400
L 33-21 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-110
Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
W 23-20 at Cincinnati BengalsPIT: Mitchell Trubisky • CIN: Joe Burrow+270
L 21-42 at Kansas City ChiefsPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes+525
W 16-13 at Baltimore RavensPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BAL: Tyler Huntley+145
W 14-26 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Baker Mayfield • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+112
L 10-36 at Kansas City ChiefsPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes+365

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRTy MontgomeryIR
  • CBJoejuan WilliamsIR
  • WRTyquan ThorntonIR
  • OLAndrew StueberIR
  • WRKristian WilkersonIR
  • KQuinn NordinUnknown
  • SJoshuah BledsoeOut
  • DTDaniel EkualeUnknown
  • DERonnie PerkinsIR

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • LBT.J. WattIR
  • WRCalvin Austin IIIIR
  • SDamontae KazeeIR
  • SKarl JosephIR
  • RBJeremy McNicholsIR
  • DBCarlins PlatelIR
  • WRAnthony MillerIR
NNW 6 mph
Acrisure Field, Pittsburgh, PA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°81°80°81°
Humidity55%51%48%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 6 mphNW 7 mphW 9 mphWSW 10 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-117-160-160-161-160-161-160-142.8
Pittsburgh-103+140+135+141+140+141+141+142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-125-160-158-155-160-155-155-142.8
Pittsburgh+105+140+139+135+140+135+140+142.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-1-110-3-108-3-115-3-112-3-109-3-112-3-108-3+104
Pittsburgh+1-110+3-108+3-105+3-108+3-109+3-108+3-105+3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-1½-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3+104
Pittsburgh+1½-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -1-105 to -1½-110
Pittsburgh Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +0-110 to -1½-110
Pittsburgh Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o40-108o40-105o40-113o40-109o40-113o40-105o40+100
Underu43-110u40-108u40-115u40-107u40-109u40-107u40-107u40+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40+100
Underu43½-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-110 to o40-115
The Under moved from u40-110 to u40-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-110 to o40½-110
The Under moved from u40½-110 to u40-110
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