Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-6)
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
61.6%38.4%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
24.3Projected Points 21.0
20Final Score 10

New Orleans Saints

(5-9)
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
Rank24
P/G22.1
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.71212.011

Jameis Winston

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.61269.020

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 19-3 at Dallas CowboysTB: Tom Brady • DAL: Dak Prescott-130
L 30-27 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • TB: Tom Brady-142
W 15-31 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Tom Brady-330
W 17-41 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • TB: Tom Brady-500
W 28-24 at New York JetsTB: Tom Brady • NYJ: Zach Wilson-850
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 27-26 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Jameis Winston • ATL: Marcus Mariota-230
W 30-20 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Taysom Hill • ATL: Matt Ryan-200
W 10-18 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • NO: Taysom Hill-280
L 20-3 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NO: Taysom Hill+155
W 9-0 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNO: Trevor Siemian • TB: Tom Brady+480

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • TTristan WirfsProbable
  • CRyan JensenIR
  • WRRussell GageProbable
  • RBKenjon BarnerIR
  • RBLeonard FournetteProbable
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • WRJulio JonesOut
  • TEKyle RudolphOut
  • GNick LeverettIR
  • WRBreshad PerrimanProbable
  • LBCam GillIR
  • WRChris GodwinOut
  • CBZyon McCollumDoubtful
  • TDonovan SmithOut
  • OLRobert HainseyIR

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • TTrevor PenningIR
  • GForrest LampIR
  • DLMalcolm RoachIR
  • OLEthan GreenidgeIR
  • RBDwayne WashingtonProbable
  • RBAlvin KamaraOut
  • DTAlbert HugginsIR
  • LBD'Marco JacksonIR
  • RBMark Ingram IIProbable
  • WRKawaan BakerUnknown
  • WRTre'quan SmithOut
  • CBPaulson AdeboOut
  • TEDylan SoehnerUnknown
  • QBJameis WinstonProbable
  • SSmoke MondayIR
  • LBIsaiah PryorIR
  • CBAlontae TaylorProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-175-145-150-143-145-143-143-138.0
New Orleans+155+125+130+123+125+123+130+138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-140-145-141-150-145-145-141-138.0
New Orleans+120+125+123+130+125+125+130+138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-3-125-2½-118-3-105-2½-119-2½-114-2½-119-2½-114-2½-114
New Orleans+3+105+2½+102+3-115+2½-101+2½-104+2½-101+2½+102+2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-2-110-2½-110-2½-120-3+100-2½-119-2½-110-2½-110-2½-114
New Orleans+2-110+2½-110+2½+100+3-120+2½-101+2½-110+2½+100+2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3-113 to -3½-103
New Orleans Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110
New Orleans Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-110o43½-108o43½-110o43½-110o43½-109o43½-110o43½-108o43½+100
Underu47-110u43½-108u43½-110u43½-110u43½-109u43½-110u43½-108u43½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o43½-110o43-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43-110o43½+100
Underu47½-110u43½-110u43-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43-115
The Under moved from u43½-115 to u43-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-110 to o44-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110
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