Tampa Bay at LA Chargers

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-6)
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
38.8%61.2%
Tampa Bay WinLA Chargers Win
20.7Projected Points 24.1
40Final Score 17

Los Angeles Chargers

(8-6)
Rank13
P/G21.0
PA/G17.6
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
Rank13
P/G21.0
PA/G17.6

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.213256.02813

Justin Herbert

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.913213.0141

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 13-28 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • TB: Baker Mayfield-300
W 26-23 at Carolina PanthersTB: Baker Mayfield • CAR: Bryce Young-290
W 30-7 at New York GiantsTB: Baker Mayfield • NYG: Tommy DeVito-250
L 23-20 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • TB: Baker Mayfield+260
L 24-30 at Kansas City ChiefsTB: Baker Mayfield • KC: Patrick Mahomes+360
Los Angeles Chargers
Money Line
L 17-19 at Kansas City ChiefsLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes+210
W 17-13 at Atlanta FalconsLAC: Justin Herbert • ATL: Kirk Cousins-108
L 30-23 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • LAC: Justin Herbert+155
W 27-34 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • LAC: Justin Herbert-108
W 17-27 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • LAC: Justin Herbert-400

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • SJordan WhiteheadOut
  • LBJoe TryonQuestionable
  • GBen BredesonProbable
  • DBJosh HayesQuestionable
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • WRSterling ShepardProbable
  • LBJ.J. RussellQuestionable
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • SChristian IzienQuestionable
  • CBTroy HillIR
  • LBK.J. BrittOut
  • RBBucky IrvingProbable
  • LBMarkees WattsOut

Los Angeles Chargers

Status
  • LBDenzel PerrymanProbable
  • CBEli AppleIR
  • DEJoey BosaProbable
  • RBJ.K. DobbinsIR
  • QBJustin HerbertProbable
  • TEWill DisslyOut
  • WRLadd McConkeyProbable
  • STony JeffersonProbable
  • WRJalen ReagorIR
  • TEHayden HurstIR
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+125+145+145+150+145+150+150+157.4
LA Chargers-145-165-170-170-165-170-165-157.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+125+150+146+155+135+135+155+157.4
LA Chargers-145-170-165-175-155-155-155-157.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½+100+3-108+3-105+3-103+3-105+3-103+3-103+3+106
LA Chargers-2½-120-3-108-3-115-3-117-3-115-3-117-3-108-3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+3-120+3-110+3-105+3+100+3-110+3+100+3+100+3+106
LA Chargers-3+100-3-110-3-115-3-120-3-110-3-116-3-110-3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On LA Chargers Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread
No Steam Moves On LA Chargers Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o46-108o46-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½+100
Underu46½-110u46-108u46-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-108u45½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o46-110o46½-110o46½-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½+100
Underu45½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-110u45½-110u46-110u46½-110u45½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46-105 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½-105 to u46-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110
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