NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 21, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2)
Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Russell Wilson
Jameis Winston
65.3%
34.7%
-190
+176
-185
+175
-3½-107
+3½-108
-4+100
+3½-108
21.7
17.6
39.3
o36½-113
u37½-115
o36½-110
u37-110
Games for Nov 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles
28.8%
71.2%
+285
-340
+290
-330
+7½-115
-7½+107
+7½-110
-7-116
23
28
-0.28978-0.28827-0.33933
Chicago Bears
Arizona Cardinals
48.0%
52.0%
+115
-126
+115
-120
+1½-105
-1½-108
+2-108
-1½-110
9
29
-0.60664-0.61667-0.65404
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
59.6%
40.4%
-205
+175
-204
+185
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-108
+4-105
27
22
-0.43245-0.42060-0.51689
Las Vegas Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals
21.0%
79.0%
+310
-350
+310
-350
+7½-105
-7½-108
+7½-105
-7½-108
24
41
-0.27275-0.27275-0.23558
Denver Broncos
Baltimore Ravens
22.5%
77.5%
+360
-410
+368
-420
+9+100
-8½-108
+9½-110
-9-108
10
41
-0.23934-0.23472-0.25520
Dallas Cowboys
Atlanta Falcons
36.8%
63.2%
+160
-170
+155
-168
+3+102
-3-115
+3½-110
-3-118
21
27
-0.47678-0.48587-0.45956
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
22.7%
77.3%
+225
-255
+232
-260
+6-108
-6-107
+6½+100
-6½-108
27
30
-0.35652-0.34858-0.25727
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
78.6%
21.4%
-345
+280
-335
+290
-7-115
+7½-113
-7-108
+7+100
22
23
-1.37271-1.38713-1.53954
Los Angeles Chargers
Cleveland Browns
59.0%
41.0%
-130
+115
-125
+110
-2-108
+2-104
-1½-110
+2-108
27
10
-0.60042-0.61904-0.52736
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
32.8%
67.2%
+155
-170
+165
-175
+3½-118
-3½+105
+3½-115
-3-110
17
20
-0.48418-0.46561-0.39774
Houston Texans
New York Jets
51.7%
48.3%
+140
-150
+145
-150
+2½+102
-3+100
+2½+110
-2½-110
13
21
-0.52736-0.51896-0.72718
New York Giants
Pittsburgh Steelers
29.5%
70.5%
+225
-250
+240
-260
+6-108
-6-105
+6½-110
-6-108
18
26
-0.35820-0.34163-0.34922
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
23.6%
76.4%
+215
-240
+220
-230
+5½-108
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5-105
24
30
-0.37138-0.37044-0.26920
Carolina Panthers
Denver Broncos
20.2%
79.8%
+580
-715
+600
-700
+13-108
-13-108
+13-108
-12½-110
14
28
-0.15497-0.15123-0.22601
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
84.9%
15.1%
-430
+350
-390
+375
-9+100
+8½-105
-8½-108
+9½-110
27
20
-0.24208-0.23468-0.16411
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
51.7%
48.3%
+105
-120
+105
-115
+1½-108
-1-105
+1½-110
+0-110
15
18
-0.63885-0.64814-0.72850
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57150 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57056 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.58273
-0.01124
-0.01218

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.