NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5)
Patrick Mahomes
Russell Wilson
56.7%
43.3%
-150
+143
-145
+140
-2½-115
+2½+102
-2½-110
+2½+100
22.7
20.1
42.8
o43½-110
u44-108
o44-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
Houston Texans (9-6)
Lamar Jackson
C.J. Stroud
66.1%
33.9%
-245
+225
-235
+220
-5½-108
+5½+100
-5½-108
+6-110
26.9
22.4
49.3
o47+100
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Dec 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys
61.1%
38.9%
-225
+200
-220
+205
-4½-108
+4½-108
-4½-108
+5-110
27
20
-0.39304-0.38995-0.49346
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
33.7%
66.3%
+195
-220
+210
-235
+4½-108
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-108
17
19
-0.40084-0.37834-0.41110
Chicago Bears
San Francisco 49ers
30.7%
69.3%
+140
-160
+145
-155
+3-105
-3-108
+3+100
-3-110
13
38
-0.51706-0.51371-0.36727
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams
76.1%
23.9%
-155
+165
-185
+175
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½-108
+3½-105
42
44
-0.95964-1.02427-1.42991
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
39.3%
60.7%
+165
-165
+160
-170
+3+110
-3-115
+3+105
-3-110
30
18
-0.97456-0.96964-0.93400
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
27.4%
72.6%
+255
-285
+255
-280
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-108
26
32
-0.32247-0.32375-0.31957
Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles
8.1%
91.9%
+725
-900
+800
-1050
+14-105
-14-105
+14-108
-14-108
16
22
-0.12635-0.11484-0.08416
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
26.7%
73.3%
+235
-265
+245
-260
+6-105
-6-108
+6½-115
-6½+100
14
27
-0.34441-0.33743-0.30995
Las Vegas Raiders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
21.3%
78.7%
+265
-290
+270
-300
+7-110
-7+100
+7-110
-7+100
13
28
-0.31367-0.30775-0.23970
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
30.9%
69.1%
+145
-160
+145
-160
+3-108
-3-105
+3+100
-3-108
10
6
-0.91937-0.91937-1.17286
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
66.0%
34.0%
-230
+215
-250
+230
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
14
11
-0.37533-0.35364-0.41529
Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota Vikings
28.6%
71.4%
+227
-250
+240
-260
+6-108
-6-106
+6-110
-5½-108
21
42
-0.35636-0.34163-0.33665
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
32.3%
67.7%
+150
-165
+160
-165
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
-3-110
31
34
-0.49617-0.48102-0.38943
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
30.6%
69.4%
+235
-250
+260
-265
+6-108
-6-108
+6½-110
-6-108
32
41
-0.34919-0.32397-0.36492
San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo Bills
25.4%
74.6%
+270
-290
+280
-300
+6½-108
-6½+100
+6½-108
-6½-108
10
35
-0.31004-0.30075-0.29322
Philadelphia Eagles
Baltimore Ravens
38.1%
61.9%
+145
-150
+145
-160
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
24
19
-0.90421-0.91937-0.96496
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1612-4 (0.750)0-0.53057 
Sportsbooks1612-4 (0.750)0-0.52767 
DRatings1612-4 (0.750)0-0.52670
0.00386
0.00096

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (13-2-0)14.32.70.0100.0%61.2%54.7%39.0%22.2%
2Buffalo Bills (12-3-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%8.6%37.6%22.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (14-1-0)15.21.80.0100.0%100.0%91.4%30.3%13.5%
4Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0)14.03.00.0100.0%38.8%34.9%19.3%9.0%
5Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0)13.83.30.0100.0%99.6%10.4%18.5%8.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (10-5-0)11.55.50.0100.0%68.4%0.0%15.6%8.0%
7Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)12.34.70.0100.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%4.2%
8Houston Texans (9-6-0)10.16.90.095.6%95.3%0.0%6.2%2.7%
9Los Angeles Rams (9-6-0)10.36.70.079.5%79.2%0.0%5.6%2.1%
10Washington Commanders (10-5-0)11.35.70.097.4%0.4%0.0%4.0%1.6%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5-0)10.96.10.0100.0%31.6%0.0%4.3%1.5%
12Los Angeles Chargers (9-6-0)10.36.70.095.3%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.1%
13Denver Broncos (9-6-0)9.97.10.086.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.1%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0)9.47.60.065.1%64.2%0.0%2.8%1.0%
15Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0)9.08.00.020.6%20.2%0.0%1.1%0.5%
16Atlanta Falcons (8-7-0)9.08.00.036.8%35.8%0.0%1.1%0.4%
17Miami Dolphins (7-8-0)8.38.70.06.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
18Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0)7.99.10.06.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
19Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0)8.48.60.010.7%4.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0)7.59.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New England Patriots (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Bears (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (7-8-0)7.89.20.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New Orleans Saints (5-10-0)5.911.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-13-0)2.314.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Tennessee Titans (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Francisco 49ers (6-9-0)6.910.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Jets (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (4-11-0)4.612.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.