NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 21, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2)
Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Russell Wilson
Jameis Winston
65.3%
34.7%
-183
+165
-185
+175
-3-118
+3½-108
-4+100
+3½-105
21.4
17.2
38.6
o36½-110
u37-108
o36½-110
u37-110
Games for Nov 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Chargers
26.3%
73.7%
+285
-350
+309
-340
+7½-110
-7-108
+7½-108
-7-110
8
26
-0.28815-0.27491-0.30581
Buffalo Bills
Seattle Seahawks
55.7%
44.3%
-155
+145
-155
+140
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
+3-108
31
10
-0.51371-0.52206-0.58501
Philadelphia Eagles
Cincinnati Bengals
44.4%
55.6%
+135
-145
+135
-145
+3-110
-2½-115
+3-110
-2½-115
37
17
-0.87165-0.87165-0.81216
New York Jets
New England Patriots
77.8%
22.2%
-325
+280
-330
+312
-7-108
+7+100
-7-108
+7-108
22
25
-1.36250-1.42595-1.50413
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
52.5%
47.5%
-120
+112
-118
+110
-1-110
+1½-102
-1-110
+2-108
31
26
-0.62315-0.63113-0.64443
Arizona Cardinals
Miami Dolphins
42.6%
57.4%
+198
-220
+195
-210
+5-110
-4½-108
+5-108
-4½-110
28
27
-1.11474-1.09808-0.85379
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
32.3%
67.7%
+200
-235
+200
-230
+5+100
-5-108
+5-108
-4½-110
20
23
-0.38877-0.39087-0.39034
Green Bay Packers
Jacksonville Jaguars
65.9%
34.1%
-175
+160
-170
+165
-3½+105
+3½-108
-3½+102
+3½-110
30
27
-0.47276-0.46959-0.41711
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
86.7%
13.3%
-300
+290
-330
+315
-7½+108
+7½-118
-7-110
+7½-110
24
29
-1.36735-1.43150-2.01448
Tennessee Titans
Detroit Lions
12.9%
87.1%
+550
-670
+550
-700
+12½-105
-13+105
+13-110
-12-110
14
52
-0.16281-0.16198-0.13773
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Rams
64.0%
36.0%
-140
+130
-144
+130
-2½-108
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+102
20
30
-0.85085-0.85755-1.02071
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
57.2%
42.8%
-120
+105
-114
+105
-1-110
+1½-108
-1-108
+1½-110
15
17
-0.75056-0.73814-0.84894
Baltimore Ravens
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
58.5%
41.5%
-210
+195
-220
+197
-4-108
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-108
41
31
-0.40573-0.39860-0.53551
New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
47.0%
53.0%
-145
+142
-150
+140
-2½-118
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+100
15
37
-0.88882-0.89199-0.63561
Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers
47.7%
52.3%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+2½-102
-2½-108
+2½+104
-2½-110
28
18
-0.85918-0.87165-0.74030
Carolina Panthers
Washington Commanders
24.6%
75.4%
+425
-525
+450
-500
+10½-108
-10½-105
+10+100
-10-110
7
40
-0.20438-0.19737-0.28215
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57150 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57056 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.58273
-0.01124
-0.01218

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.