Denver at LA Chargers

Updated

Denver Broncos

(9-5)
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
42.4%57.6%
Denver WinLA Chargers Win
18.2Projected Points 21.1
27Final Score 34

Los Angeles Chargers

(8-6)
Rank13
P/G21.0
PA/G17.6
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
Rank13
P/G21.0
PA/G17.6

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.614212.02011

Justin Herbert

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.914211.0162

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 13-31 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • DEN: Bo Nix-210
W 32-41 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Jameis Winston • DEN: Bo Nix-265
W 29-19 at Las Vegas RaidersDEN: Bo Nix • VEG: Gardner Minshew II-250
W 6-38 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Kirk Cousins • DEN: Bo Nix-130
L 14-16 at Kansas City ChiefsDEN: Bo Nix • KC: Patrick Mahomes+300
Los Angeles Chargers
Money Line
L 40-17 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • LAC: Justin Herbert-155
L 17-19 at Kansas City ChiefsLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes+210
W 17-13 at Atlanta FalconsLAC: Justin Herbert • ATL: Kirk Cousins-108
L 30-23 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • LAC: Justin Herbert+155
W 27-34 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • LAC: Justin Herbert-108

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • RBJaleel McLaughlinOut
  • DEJohn Franklin-MyersProbable
  • CBPat Surtain IIProbable
  • CBRiley MossOut
  • DTD.J. JonesProbable

Los Angeles Chargers

Status
  • RBJ.K. DobbinsIR
  • CBElijah MoldenOut
  • WRJalen ReagorIR
  • CBEli AppleIR
  • DLOtito OgbonniaProbable
  • TEHayden HurstProbable
  • CBCam HartOut
  • GZion JohnsonProbable
  • TEWill DisslyOut
  • LBDenzel PerrymanProbable
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+142+145+130+136+135+136+145+143.8
LA Chargers-162-165-150-156-155-156-150-143.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+145+150+137+135+135+142+150+143.8
LA Chargers-165-170-156-155-155-162-155-143.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+3-108+2½+102+2½+105+2½+102+2½+105+2½+102+2½+105+2½+111
LA Chargers-3-112-2½-118-2½-125-2½-122-2½-125-2½-122-2½-118-2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+3-110+3-110+3-114+2½+100+2½+100+2½+112+2½+112+2½+111
LA Chargers-3-110-3-110-3-106-2½-120-2½-120-2½-122-2½-120-2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 10.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +7-110 to +3-110
LA Chargers Spread moved from -3-110 to -7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 10.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 10.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +2½+100 to -4½-110
LA Chargers Spread moved from +4½-110 to -2½-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o41½-108o41½-115o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-108o41½+100
Underu42-110u41½-108u41½-105u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-105u41½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu42-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u42-110u41½-110u42-110u41½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41-108 to o41½-108
The Under moved from u41½+100 to u41½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110
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