Houston at Kansas City

Updated
Rank9
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
46.5%53.5%
Houston WinKansas City Win
21.6Projected Points 23.1
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank9
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.614232.0179

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.714239.02211

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
W 12-20 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • HOU: C.J. Stroud-145
W 23-20 at Jacksonville JaguarsHOU: C.J. Stroud • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-165
L 32-27 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • HOU: C.J. Stroud-400
W 34-10 at Dallas CowboysHOU: C.J. Stroud • DAL: Cooper Rush-340
L 26-23 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • HOU: C.J. Stroud+195
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 21-7 at Cleveland BrownsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CLE: Jameis Winston-220
W 17-19 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-235
W 17-19 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • KC: Patrick Mahomes-850
W 30-27 at Carolina PanthersKC: Patrick Mahomes • CAR: Bryce Young-650
L 21-30 at Buffalo BillsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen+140

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • DBJalen PitreOut for Season
  • TECade StoverOut
  • WRJohn Metchie IIIOut
  • LBChristian HarrisProbable
  • LBAzeez Al-ShaairUnknown
  • CJuice ScruggsOut
  • DTFolorunso FatukasiOut
  • OLKenyon GreenProbable
  • LBDel'Shawn PhillipsProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRMecole Hardman Jr.IR
  • WRHollywood BrownProbable
  • DBChamarri ConnerOut
  • KSpencer ShraderIR
  • QBPatrick MahomesProbable
  • LBLeo ChenalProbable
  • OLD.J. HumphriesOut
SSE 4 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)32°34°36°37°
Humidity60%56%53%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston-130+160+160+160+155+160+160+167.1
Kansas City+110-185-185-180-175-180-175-167.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston-140+170+160+160+165+160+170+167.1
Kansas City+120-190-180-180-185-180-180-167.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston-3-113+3+102+3+100+3-105+3-105+3-105+3+102+3+104
Kansas City+3-107-3-118-3-120-3-115-3-115-3-115-3-115-3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston-2½-110+3-110+3+100+3+100+3+100+3+100+3+100+3+104
Kansas City+2½-110-3-110-3-120-3-120-3-120-3-116-3-110-3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 30.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Houston Spread
Kansas City Spread moved from -3½-105 to -3½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 40.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Kansas City: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120
Kansas City Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-105o42½-108o43-110o42½-115o43-110o42½-115o42½-108o42½-104
Underu41½-115u42½-108u43-110u42½-105u43-110u42½-105u43-110u42½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o42½-110o43-110o43-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-104
Underu40-110u42½-110u43-110u43-110u42½-110u42½-110u43-110u42½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-115 to o43-110
The Under moved from u42½-110 to u42-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110