NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 26, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Seahawks (8-7)
Chicago Bears (4-11)
Geno Smith
Caleb Williams
64.1%
35.9%
-190
+180
-210
+190
-4-108
+4-105
-4-108
+4-108
24.0
20.1
44.1
o42½-108
u42½-108
o42-110
u43-110
Games for Dec 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Rams
63.0%
37.0%
-155
+140
-155
+140
-3-105
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
37
20
-0.52206-0.52206-0.46142
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
36.3%
63.7%
+230
-275
+250
-260
+6½-110
-6-108
+6½-110
-6-108
10
38
-0.34588-0.33332-0.45166
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
51.0%
49.0%
-115
+100
-115
+105
-1-110
+1½-108
-1-108
+1½-110
6
16
-0.72743-0.74028-0.71317
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
71.4%
28.6%
-235
+210
-250
+220
-5-110
+5½-108
-5½-108
+5½-108
29
19
-0.37834-0.36291-0.33694
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
18.6%
81.4%
+330
-390
+340
-400
+8-108
-8-105
+8½-110
-8-108
32
27
-1.48669-1.50851-1.68061
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
18.1%
81.9%
+320
-380
+330
-370
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-105
-7-120
15
34
-0.26295-0.25884-0.20003
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Giants
65.1%
34.9%
-265
+227
-250
+240
-6-108
+6-108
-5½-115
+6-108
30
7
-0.35150-0.34485-0.42949
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
19.0%
81.0%
+460
-575
+475
-580
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-108
-11-106
34
26
-1.75273-1.77573-1.66152
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
72.0%
28.0%
-150
+140
-152
+145
-3+100
+3-108
-3+100
+3-105
30
27
-0.52736-0.51683-0.32824
Kansas City Chiefs
Carolina Panthers
89.4%
10.6%
-620
+500
-650
+520
-10½-108
+11-110
-10½-108
+11-110
30
27
-0.17694-0.17067-0.11222
Detroit Lions
Indianapolis Colts
81.2%
18.8%
-325
+280
-320
+310
-7+100
+7-108
-7+100
+7+100
24
6
-0.29574-0.27772-0.20768
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
52.8%
47.2%
-205
+180
-210
+190
-3½-108
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½+100
19
24
-1.05849-1.08672-0.75122
Houston Texans
Dallas Cowboys
75.6%
24.4%
-330
+290
-340
+315
-7-107
+7-103
-7-108
+7+100
34
10
-0.28827-0.27143-0.28028
Cincinnati Bengals
Los Angeles Chargers
45.5%
54.5%
+100
-115
+104
-108
+1-101
-1-105
+1½-110
+0-108
27
34
-0.66000-0.66479-0.60759
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
51.1%
48.9%
+140
-152
+140
-150
+2½+107
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-110
21
30
-0.52520-0.52736-0.71480
Atlanta Falcons
Denver Broncos
49.5%
50.5%
+115
-130
+115
-130
+2-105
-1½-113
+2-108
-2-108
6
38
-0.60042-0.60042-0.68330
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.52336 
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51879 
DRatings1814-4 (0.778)0-0.52202
0.00134
-0.00323

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (13-2-0)14.32.70.0100.0%61.2%54.7%39.0%22.2%
2Buffalo Bills (12-3-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%8.6%37.6%22.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (14-1-0)15.21.80.0100.0%100.0%91.4%30.3%13.5%
4Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0)14.03.00.0100.0%38.8%34.9%19.3%9.0%
5Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0)13.83.30.0100.0%99.6%10.4%18.5%8.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (10-5-0)11.55.50.0100.0%68.4%0.0%15.6%8.0%
7Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)12.34.70.0100.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%4.2%
8Houston Texans (9-6-0)10.16.90.095.6%95.3%0.0%6.2%2.7%
9Los Angeles Rams (9-6-0)10.36.70.079.5%79.2%0.0%5.6%2.1%
10Washington Commanders (10-5-0)11.35.70.097.4%0.4%0.0%4.0%1.6%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5-0)10.96.10.0100.0%31.6%0.0%4.3%1.5%
12Los Angeles Chargers (9-6-0)10.36.70.095.3%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.1%
13Denver Broncos (9-6-0)9.97.10.086.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.1%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0)9.47.60.065.1%64.2%0.0%2.8%1.0%
15Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0)9.08.00.020.6%20.2%0.0%1.1%0.5%
16Atlanta Falcons (8-7-0)9.08.00.036.8%35.8%0.0%1.1%0.4%
17Miami Dolphins (7-8-0)8.38.70.06.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
18Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0)7.99.10.06.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
19Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0)8.48.60.010.7%4.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0)7.59.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New England Patriots (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Bears (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (7-8-0)7.89.20.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New Orleans Saints (5-10-0)5.911.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-13-0)2.314.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Tennessee Titans (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Francisco 49ers (6-9-0)6.910.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Jets (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (4-11-0)4.612.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.