NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 21, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2)
Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Russell Wilson
Jameis Winston
52.8%
47.2%
-181
+165
-190
+175
-3½-101
+3½-108
-4+100
+3½-105
20.4
19.1
39.5
o36½-105
u37-115
o36½-110
u36½-110
Games for Nov 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Rams
31.5%
68.5%
+285
-330
+296
-300
+7-105
-7-108
+7+104
-7-110
15
20
-0.29152-0.29021-0.37775
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
63.6%
36.4%
-160
+145
-159
+150
-3-108
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
28
3
-0.50878-0.50173-0.45251
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
52.5%
47.5%
+115
-115
+110
-120
+2-108
-1½+100
+2-108
-1½-110
31
29
-0.76546-0.76336-0.64508
Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts
44.7%
55.3%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-118
-3+106
+3-120
-2½-110
10
16
-0.55080-0.54173-0.59173
Houston Texans
Green Bay Packers
46.8%
53.2%
+155
-165
+160
-170
+3+105
-3-118
+3½-110
-3-115
22
24
-0.48848-0.47678-0.63100
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
64.1%
35.9%
-229
+205
-225
+210
-5-105
+5½-108
-5-108
+6-110
21
14
-0.38597-0.38251-0.44538
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
19.6%
80.4%
+400
-460
+400
-450
+9½-108
-9-110
+9½-110
-9-108
10
34
-0.21791-0.21869-0.21802
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
40.5%
59.5%
+145
-160
+144
-155
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
-3+100
34
14
-0.91937-0.90951-0.90345
New England Patriots
Jacksonville Jaguars
30.4%
69.6%
+270
-310
+288
-320
+7-115
-6½-108
+7-105
-6½-115
16
32
-0.30562-0.29138-0.36177
Denver Broncos
New Orleans Saints
52.7%
47.3%
-145
+130
-147
+135
-3+102
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-110
33
10
-0.55080-0.53941-0.63970
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
60.3%
39.7%
-115
+100
-115
+105
-1-105
+1-108
-1-108
+1½-110
23
20
-0.66000-0.64814-0.50639
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Giants
60.3%
39.7%
-210
+190
-200
+195
-4-110
+4+100
-4-108
+4+100
17
7
-0.41146-0.41110-0.50504
Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys
63.9%
36.1%
-185
+169
-200
+180
-3½-107
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½-105
47
9
-0.45279-0.42898-0.44735
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
71.6%
28.4%
-250
+226
-240
+230
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
38
20
-0.35729-0.35718-0.33477
Pittsburgh Steelers
Las Vegas Raiders
62.0%
38.0%
-180
+165
-170
+180
-3-118
+3½-110
-3-120
+3+115
32
13
-0.46185-0.44931-0.47770
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
50.3%
49.7%
-150
+140
-152
+145
-3-105
+3-108
-3+104
+3-110
23
16
-0.52736-0.51683-0.68705
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57150 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57056 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.58273
-0.01124
-0.01218

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.