NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (9-6)
New England Patriots (3-12)
Justin Herbert
Drake Maye
71.4%
28.6%
-205
+185
-210
+210
-4-108
+4½-110
-4-108
+4½-110
24.2
17.3
41.5
o42½-108
u42½-108
o42-110
u42½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (9-6)
Cincinnati Bengals (7-8)
Bo Nix
Joe Burrow
42.7%
57.3%
+155
-170
+160
-170
+3+105
-3½+100
+3+104
-3-110
19.2
21.8
41.0
o49½-108
u49½-105
o49½-110
u50-110
Arizona Cardinals (7-8)
Los Angeles Rams (9-6)
Kyler Murray
Matthew Stafford
30.8%
69.2%
+245
-285
+264
-290
+6½-105
-6½-108
+7-120
-6½-108
20.8
26.1
46.9
o47½-110
u48-108
o47½-110
u48-110

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans
67.0%
33.0%
-310
+270
-315
+280
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-110
+6½+100
31
2
-0.30562-0.29765-0.40091
Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers
56.7%
43.3%
-115
+115
-125
+120
-1½-110
+2-108
-1½-105
+2½-110
29
10
-0.62571-0.59784-0.56821
New Orleans Saints
Green Bay Packers
9.5%
90.5%
+950
-1065
+900
-1300
+14-105
-14-108
+14-108
-14-108
0
34
-0.09910-0.10228-0.09939
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys
67.7%
32.3%
-220
+200
-220
+200
-4½-103
+4½-110
-4½-108
+4½-108
24
26
-1.11923-1.11923-1.13131
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
49.6%
50.4%
+120
-135
+125
-136
+2½-108
-2½-105
+2½-105
-2½-108
14
19
-0.58291-0.57167-0.68456
San Francisco 49ers
Miami Dolphins
52.2%
47.8%
-125
+115
-118
+110
-1½-108
+2-110
-1-110
+2-110
17
29
-0.78592-0.75927-0.73716
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
5.4%
94.6%
+825
-1045
+875
-950
+14-105
-14-105
+14½-110
-14-108
21
24
-0.11195-0.10737-0.05566
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
60.8%
39.2%
-125
+125
-135
+125
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+3-120
27
24
-0.58778-0.57304-0.49819
Los Angeles Rams
New York Jets
64.1%
35.9%
-150
+140
-155
+145
-2½-119
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
19
9
-0.52736-0.51371-0.44510
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
33.6%
66.4%
+180
-185
+192
-200
+4-108
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
30
38
-0.43838-0.41456-0.40893
New York Giants
Atlanta Falcons
13.3%
86.7%
+395
-450
+375
-450
+9½-105
-9½-106
+9½-108
-9-110
7
34
-0.22067-0.22897-0.14290
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
62.5%
37.5%
-195
+198
-230
+200
-4-108
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
33
36
-1.08850-1.12846-0.98214
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
70.0%
30.0%
-225
+215
-250
+230
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-105
30
36
-1.15712-1.21110-1.20551
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
80.9%
19.1%
-305
+275
-320
+310
-6½-113
+7-115
-6½-110
+7-110
34
17
-0.30313-0.27772-0.21178
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
31.0%
69.0%
+450
-500
+450
-540
+10-105
-10-105
+10-108
-10-105
6
24
-0.19737-0.19515-0.37125
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
24.1%
75.9%
+295
-330
+300
-345
+7-105
-7-103
+7-108
-7-108
17
34
-0.28509-0.27950-0.27562
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.52336 
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51879 
DRatings1814-4 (0.778)0-0.52202
0.00134
-0.00323

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (13-2-0)14.32.70.0100.0%61.2%54.7%39.0%22.2%
2Buffalo Bills (12-3-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%8.6%37.6%22.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (14-1-0)15.21.80.0100.0%100.0%91.4%30.3%13.5%
4Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0)14.03.00.0100.0%38.8%34.9%19.3%9.0%
5Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0)13.83.30.0100.0%99.6%10.4%18.5%8.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (10-5-0)11.55.50.0100.0%68.4%0.0%15.6%8.0%
7Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)12.34.70.0100.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%4.2%
8Houston Texans (9-6-0)10.16.90.095.6%95.3%0.0%6.2%2.7%
9Los Angeles Rams (9-6-0)10.36.70.079.5%79.2%0.0%5.6%2.1%
10Washington Commanders (10-5-0)11.35.70.097.4%0.4%0.0%4.0%1.6%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5-0)10.96.10.0100.0%31.6%0.0%4.3%1.5%
12Los Angeles Chargers (9-6-0)10.36.70.095.3%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.1%
13Denver Broncos (9-6-0)9.97.10.086.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.1%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0)9.47.60.065.1%64.2%0.0%2.8%1.0%
15Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0)9.08.00.020.6%20.2%0.0%1.1%0.5%
16Atlanta Falcons (8-7-0)9.08.00.036.8%35.8%0.0%1.1%0.4%
17Miami Dolphins (7-8-0)8.38.70.06.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
18Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0)7.99.10.06.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
19Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0)8.48.60.010.7%4.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0)7.59.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New England Patriots (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Bears (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (7-8-0)7.89.20.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New Orleans Saints (5-10-0)5.911.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-13-0)2.314.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Tennessee Titans (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Francisco 49ers (6-9-0)6.910.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Jets (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (4-11-0)4.612.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.