NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 21, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2)
Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Russell Wilson
Jameis Winston
65.3%
34.7%
-190
+176
-185
+175
-3½-107
+3½-108
-4+100
+3½-108
21.5
17.3
38.8
o36½-113
u37-108
o36½-110
u37-110
Games for Nov 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
Arizona Cardinals
49.2%
50.8%
-130
+120
-130
+135
-2-108
+2-106
-1½-110
+2½-110
6
31
-0.80802-0.84513-0.67688
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
73.4%
26.6%
-310
+280
-296
+290
-7+100
+7-108
-7+100
+7+100
34
6
-0.29866-0.29493-0.30980
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers
26.1%
73.9%
+345
-400
+332
-400
+8½-110
-8-108
+8½-108
-8½-108
17
27
-0.24756-0.25414-0.30221
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears
26.9%
73.1%
+240
-275
+250
-270
+6½-115
-6-108
+6½-108
-6-110
19
3
-1.25085-1.26808-1.31297
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
73.5%
26.5%
-280
+240
-275
+260
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½+100
23
20
-0.33588-0.32121-0.30761
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
12.3%
87.7%
+290
-320
+300
-330
+7-108
-7-105
+7+100
-7-110
14
16
-0.29008-0.28198-0.13100
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
63.6%
36.4%
-185
+172
-185
+175
-3½-105
+3½-104
-3½-110
+4-108
17
20
-1.01724-1.02427-1.01115
Pittsburgh Steelers
Washington Commanders
48.7%
51.3%
+105
-122
+110
-125
+2-108
-1½-110
+2-108
-2-108
28
27
-0.75451-0.77319-0.71929
Minnesota Vikings
Jacksonville Jaguars
83.3%
16.7%
-305
+270
-320
+272
-7-105
+7-108
-7-108
+7-108
12
7
-0.30666-0.30220-0.18317
Buffalo Bills
Indianapolis Colts
69.5%
30.5%
-215
+190
-220
+200
-4½-105
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4+100
30
20
-0.40893-0.39531-0.36452
New York Giants
Carolina Panthers
70.6%
29.4%
-285
+245
-275
+250
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-108
+6½-108
17
20
-1.26805-1.27165-1.22526
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
28.3%
71.7%
+230
-270
+245
-260
+6-105
-6-105
+6+100
-6-105
34
35
-0.34732-0.33743-0.33237
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
21.6%
78.4%
+345
-410
+360
-380
+8-105
-8-108
+9-110
-8-110
24
30
-0.24649-0.24263-0.24391
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings
30.8%
69.2%
+230
-260
+235
-265
+6-110
-5½-108
+6-108
-6+100
13
21
-0.35037-0.34441-0.36765
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
55.8%
44.2%
-135
+120
-135
+120
-2-108
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-108
24
14
-0.58291-0.58291-0.58340
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
47.2%
52.8%
-125
+110
-125
+112
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½-110
+2-108
26
20
-0.61904-0.61467-0.75008
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57150 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57056 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.58273
-0.01124
-0.01218

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.