NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5)
Patrick Mahomes
Russell Wilson
56.7%
43.3%
-145
+135
-145
+135
-3+105
+2½+102
-2½-110
+2½+100
22.7
20.1
42.8
o44-108
u44-108
o44-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
Houston Texans (9-6)
Lamar Jackson
C.J. Stroud
66.4%
33.6%
-245
+220
-235
+210
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-108
26.9
22.3
49.2
o46½-108
u46½-108
o46½-110
u47-110
Games for Dec 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Las Vegas Raiders
74.2%
25.8%
-285
+260
-270
+260
-6-115
+6½-108
-6-108
+7-120
15
9
-0.31864-0.32256-0.29818
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
21.1%
78.9%
+275
-320
+305
-330
+7-108
-6½-115
+7-108
-6½-110
12
30
-0.30011-0.27895-0.23708
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
57.7%
42.3%
-150
+135
-154
+145
-2½-120
+3-113
-3+100
+3-110
30
13
-0.53604-0.51473-0.55040
New England Patriots
Arizona Cardinals
26.0%
74.0%
+250
-250
+250
-260
+6-105
-6-108
+6½-108
-6-110
17
30
-0.33647-0.33332-0.30113
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Chargers
38.8%
61.2%
+150
-165
+155
-155
+3-103
-3-108
+3+100
-3-110
40
17
-0.93869-0.93609-0.94755
Indianapolis Colts
Denver Broncos
33.9%
66.1%
+180
-210
+210
-210
+4+100
-4½-108
+5-110
-4½-108
13
31
-0.42344-0.38946-0.41328
Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions
44.5%
55.5%
+115
-130
+125
-135
+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½-108
-2½-105
48
42
-0.79536-0.82968-0.80934
Pittsburgh Steelers
Philadelphia Eagles
34.8%
65.2%
+210
-245
+224
-250
+5½-108
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5½-108
13
27
-0.37449-0.35914-0.42848
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
56.9%
43.1%
+130
-140
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½+100
-2½-110
30
14
-0.85085-0.85085-0.56445
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns
72.4%
27.6%
-210
+195
-220
+200
-4-108
+3½+103
-4-105
+4½-110
21
7
-0.40573-0.39531-0.32281
Baltimore Ravens
New York Giants
92.3%
7.7%
-1600
+1000
-1600
+1200
-16½-108
+16½-108
-16½-108
+17-110
35
14
-0.09220-0.07856-0.07989
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
64.1%
35.9%
-230
+225
-260
+235
-5½-110
+5½+100
-5½-115
+6-108
37
27
-0.36566-0.34595-0.44463
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
63.7%
36.3%
-170
+160
-175
+165
-3½+100
+3+100
-3-110
+3½-110
32
25
-0.47678-0.46561-0.45099
Miami Dolphins
Houston Texans
39.0%
61.0%
+135
-145
+140
-145
+2½+107
-3+105
+2½+100
-2½-110
12
20
-0.54173-0.53299-0.49446
Washington Commanders
New Orleans Saints
74.1%
25.9%
-360
+320
-370
+320
-7-120
+7½-108
-7½-108
+7½-108
20
19
-0.26562-0.26425-0.29926
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
45.7%
54.3%
+140
-156
+150
-155
+3-108
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
12
6
-0.90118-0.92410-0.78395
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1612-4 (0.750)0-0.53057 
Sportsbooks1612-4 (0.750)0-0.52767 
DRatings1612-4 (0.750)0-0.52670
0.00386
0.00096

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (13-2-0)14.32.70.0100.0%61.2%54.7%39.0%22.2%
2Buffalo Bills (12-3-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%8.6%37.6%22.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (14-1-0)15.21.80.0100.0%100.0%91.4%30.3%13.5%
4Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0)14.03.00.0100.0%38.8%34.9%19.3%9.0%
5Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0)13.83.30.0100.0%99.6%10.4%18.5%8.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (10-5-0)11.55.50.0100.0%68.4%0.0%15.6%8.0%
7Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)12.34.70.0100.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%4.2%
8Houston Texans (9-6-0)10.16.90.095.6%95.3%0.0%6.2%2.7%
9Los Angeles Rams (9-6-0)10.36.70.079.5%79.2%0.0%5.6%2.1%
10Washington Commanders (10-5-0)11.35.70.097.4%0.4%0.0%4.0%1.6%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5-0)10.96.10.0100.0%31.6%0.0%4.3%1.5%
12Los Angeles Chargers (9-6-0)10.36.70.095.3%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.1%
13Denver Broncos (9-6-0)9.97.10.086.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.1%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0)9.47.60.065.1%64.2%0.0%2.8%1.0%
15Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0)9.08.00.020.6%20.2%0.0%1.1%0.5%
16Atlanta Falcons (8-7-0)9.08.00.036.8%35.8%0.0%1.1%0.4%
17Miami Dolphins (7-8-0)8.38.70.06.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
18Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0)7.99.10.06.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
19Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0)8.48.60.010.7%4.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0)7.59.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New England Patriots (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Bears (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (7-8-0)7.89.20.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New Orleans Saints (5-10-0)5.911.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-13-0)2.314.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Tennessee Titans (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Francisco 49ers (6-9-0)6.910.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Jets (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (4-11-0)4.612.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.