NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 21, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2)
Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Russell Wilson
Jameis Winston
52.8%
47.2%
-205
+180
-210
+190
-3½-108
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½+100
20.2
18.9
39.1
o36½-105
u37-108
o36½-110
u36½-110
Games for Nov 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
45.6%
54.4%
+120
-133
+125
-132
+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½+100
-2½-108
20
17
-0.81351-0.82426-0.78439
Cleveland Browns
Philadelphia Eagles
27.2%
72.8%
+335
-390
+340
-392
+7½+100
-8-108
+8½-110
-8-108
16
20
-0.25374-0.25095-0.31785
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
67.5%
32.5%
-180
+165
-180
+165
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-110
51
27
-0.46185-0.46185-0.39367
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
74.9%
25.1%
-285
+258
-280
+255
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-105
+7-120
41
21
-0.32015-0.32375-0.28964
Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers
29.6%
70.4%
+215
-240
+210
-240
+5½-105
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5½-108
13
34
-0.37138-0.37637-0.35048
Washington Commanders
Baltimore Ravens
24.3%
75.7%
+270
-300
+270
-300
+7-108
-7+100
+7-108
-7-106
23
30
-0.30775-0.30775-0.27889
Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears
47.5%
52.5%
-125
+110
-125
+109
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-108
+2-110
16
35
-0.77319-0.77063-0.64365
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
58.8%
41.2%
-190
+170
-185
+175
-3½-108
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
36
24
-0.44809-0.44482-0.53079
New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
+202
-230
+200
-224
+5-108
-5-108
+5½-110
-5-108
13
26
-0.38873-0.39349-0.35669
Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh Steelers
51.2%
48.8%
+125
-142
+125
-130
+2½+102
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-110
20
17
-0.84169-0.82055-0.66886
New York Giants
Seattle Seahawks
30.7%
69.3%
+275
-320
+280
-300
+7-108
-7+100
+7-105
-7+100
29
20
-1.34992-1.34807-1.18016
Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams
62.4%
37.6%
-140
+140
-145
+145
-3-105
+3-108
-3-108
+3-105
24
19
-0.53900-0.52452-0.47228
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
22.4%
77.6%
+290
-350
+300
-345
+7½-113
-7-115
+7+100
-7-110
24
23
-1.39461-1.41124-1.49803
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
43.4%
56.6%
+143
-155
+145
-155
+3-108
-3-105
+3+100
-3-108
18
34
-0.51701-0.51371-0.56948
Cleveland Browns
Washington Commanders
44.2%
55.8%
+140
-150
+135
-150
+3-108
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
13
34
-0.52736-0.53604-0.58393
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
48.8%
51.2%
-130
+120
-125
+112
-2-108
+2-105
-1½-110
+2-108
15
10
-0.59012-0.61467-0.71803
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57150 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.57056 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.58273
-0.01124
-0.01218

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.