NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (9-6)
New England Patriots (3-12)
Justin Herbert
Drake Maye
71.5%
28.5%
-205
+190
-210
+210
-4-108
+4½-110
-4-110
+4-101
24.2
17.3
41.5
o42½-105
u42½-108
o42-110
u42½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (9-6)
Cincinnati Bengals (7-8)
Bo Nix
Joe Burrow
43.5%
56.5%
+155
-170
+160
-170
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
19.4
21.8
41.2
o49½-108
u49½-105
o49½-110
u50-110
Arizona Cardinals (7-8)
Los Angeles Rams (9-6)
Kyler Murray
Matthew Stafford
30.8%
69.2%
+250
-280
+264
-290
+7-115
-6½-108
+7-120
-6½-108
20.9
26.3
47.2
o47½-110
u48-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Games for Dec 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears
26.9%
73.1%
+240
-275
+250
-270
+6½-115
-6-108
+6½-108
-6-110
19
3
-1.25085-1.26808-1.31297
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
73.5%
26.5%
-280
+240
-275
+260
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½+100
23
20
-0.33588-0.32121-0.30761
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
12.3%
87.7%
+290
-320
+300
-330
+7-108
-7-105
+7+100
-7-110
14
16
-0.29008-0.28198-0.13100
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
63.6%
36.4%
-185
+172
-185
+175
-3½-105
+3½-104
-3½-110
+4-108
17
20
-1.01724-1.02427-1.01115
Pittsburgh Steelers
Washington Commanders
48.7%
51.3%
+105
-122
+110
-125
+2-108
-1½-110
+2-108
-2-108
28
27
-0.75451-0.77319-0.71929
Minnesota Vikings
Jacksonville Jaguars
83.3%
16.7%
-305
+270
-320
+272
-7-105
+7-108
-7-108
+7-108
12
7
-0.30666-0.30220-0.18317
Buffalo Bills
Indianapolis Colts
69.5%
30.5%
-215
+190
-220
+200
-4½-105
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4+100
30
20
-0.40893-0.39531-0.36452
New York Giants
Carolina Panthers
70.6%
29.4%
-285
+245
-275
+250
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-108
+6½-108
17
20
-1.26805-1.27165-1.22526
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
28.3%
71.7%
+230
-270
+245
-260
+6-105
-6-105
+6+100
-6-105
34
35
-0.34732-0.33743-0.33237
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
21.6%
78.4%
+345
-410
+360
-380
+8-105
-8-108
+9-110
-8-110
24
30
-0.24649-0.24263-0.24391
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings
30.8%
69.2%
+230
-260
+235
-265
+6-110
-5½-108
+6-108
-6+100
13
21
-0.35037-0.34441-0.36765
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
55.8%
44.2%
-135
+120
-135
+120
-2-108
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-108
24
14
-0.58291-0.58291-0.58340
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
47.2%
52.8%
-125
+110
-125
+112
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½-110
+2-108
26
20
-0.61904-0.61467-0.75008
Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles
28.8%
71.2%
+285
-340
+290
-330
+7½-115
-7½+107
+7½-110
-7-116
23
28
-0.28978-0.28827-0.33933
Chicago Bears
Arizona Cardinals
48.0%
52.0%
+115
-126
+115
-120
+1½-105
-1½-108
+2-108
-1½-110
9
29
-0.60664-0.61667-0.65404
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
59.6%
40.4%
-205
+175
-204
+185
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-108
+4-105
27
22
-0.43245-0.42060-0.51689
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51724 
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51307 
DRatings1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51603
0.00121
-0.00297

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (13-2-0)14.32.70.0100.0%61.2%54.7%39.0%22.2%
2Buffalo Bills (12-3-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%8.6%37.6%22.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (14-1-0)15.21.80.0100.0%100.0%91.4%30.3%13.5%
4Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0)14.03.00.0100.0%38.8%34.9%19.3%9.0%
5Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0)13.83.30.0100.0%99.6%10.4%18.5%8.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (10-5-0)11.55.50.0100.0%68.4%0.0%15.6%8.0%
7Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)12.34.70.0100.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%4.2%
8Houston Texans (9-6-0)10.16.90.095.6%95.3%0.0%6.2%2.7%
9Los Angeles Rams (9-6-0)10.36.70.079.5%79.2%0.0%5.6%2.1%
10Washington Commanders (10-5-0)11.35.70.097.4%0.4%0.0%4.0%1.6%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5-0)10.96.10.0100.0%31.6%0.0%4.3%1.5%
12Los Angeles Chargers (9-6-0)10.36.70.095.3%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.1%
13Denver Broncos (9-6-0)9.97.10.086.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.1%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0)9.47.60.065.1%64.2%0.0%2.8%1.0%
15Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0)9.08.00.020.6%20.2%0.0%1.1%0.5%
16Atlanta Falcons (8-7-0)9.08.00.036.8%35.8%0.0%1.1%0.4%
17Miami Dolphins (7-8-0)8.38.70.06.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
18Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0)7.99.10.06.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
19Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0)8.48.60.010.7%4.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0)7.59.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New England Patriots (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Bears (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (7-8-0)7.89.20.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New Orleans Saints (5-10-0)5.911.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-13-0)2.314.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Tennessee Titans (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Francisco 49ers (6-9-0)6.910.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Jets (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (4-11-0)4.612.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.