NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (9-6)
New England Patriots (3-12)
Justin Herbert
Drake Maye
71.5%
28.5%
-230
+225
-247
+240
-5½-108
+5½-107
-5½-108
+6-110
24.2
17.2
41.4
o42½-105
u42½-108
o42-110
u42½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (9-6)
Cincinnati Bengals (7-8)
Bo Nix
Joe Burrow
43.5%
56.5%
+160
-170
+160
-175
+3+100
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3½+100
19.4
22.0
41.4
o50-108
u50½-110
o50-110
u50-110
Arizona Cardinals (7-8)
Los Angeles Rams (9-6)
Kyler Murray
Matthew Stafford
30.8%
69.2%
+260
-300
+270
-290
+7-120
-6½-108
+7-120
-6½-108
20.9
26.3
47.2
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47-110
u48½-110
Games for Dec 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Las Vegas Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals
21.0%
79.0%
+310
-350
+310
-350
+7½-105
-7½-108
+7½-105
-7½-108
24
41
-0.27275-0.27275-0.23558
Denver Broncos
Baltimore Ravens
22.5%
77.5%
+360
-410
+368
-420
+9+100
-8½-108
+9½-110
-9-108
10
41
-0.23934-0.23472-0.25520
Dallas Cowboys
Atlanta Falcons
36.8%
63.2%
+160
-170
+155
-168
+3+102
-3-115
+3½-110
-3-118
21
27
-0.47678-0.48587-0.45956
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
22.7%
77.3%
+225
-255
+232
-260
+6-108
-6-107
+6½+100
-6½-108
27
30
-0.35652-0.34858-0.25727
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
78.6%
21.4%
-345
+280
-335
+290
-7-115
+7½-113
-7-108
+7+100
22
23
-1.37271-1.38713-1.53954
Los Angeles Chargers
Cleveland Browns
59.0%
41.0%
-130
+115
-125
+110
-2-108
+2-104
-1½-110
+2-108
27
10
-0.60042-0.61904-0.52736
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
32.8%
67.2%
+155
-170
+165
-175
+3½-118
-3½+105
+3½-115
-3-110
17
20
-0.48418-0.46561-0.39774
Houston Texans
New York Jets
51.7%
48.3%
+140
-150
+145
-150
+2½+102
-3+100
+2½+110
-2½-110
13
21
-0.52736-0.51896-0.72718
New York Giants
Pittsburgh Steelers
29.5%
70.5%
+225
-250
+240
-260
+6-108
-6-105
+6½-110
-6-108
18
26
-0.35820-0.34163-0.34922
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
23.6%
76.4%
+215
-240
+220
-230
+5½-108
-5½-105
+5½-105
-5-105
24
30
-0.37138-0.37044-0.26920
Carolina Panthers
Denver Broncos
20.2%
79.8%
+580
-715
+600
-700
+13-108
-13-108
+13-108
-12½-110
14
28
-0.15497-0.15123-0.22601
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
84.9%
15.1%
-430
+350
-390
+375
-9+100
+8½-105
-8½-108
+9½-110
27
20
-0.24208-0.23468-0.16411
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
51.7%
48.3%
+105
-120
+105
-115
+1½-108
-1-105
+1½-110
+0-110
15
18
-0.63885-0.64814-0.72850
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Chargers
26.3%
73.7%
+285
-350
+309
-340
+7½-110
-7-108
+7½-108
-7-110
8
26
-0.28815-0.27491-0.30581
Buffalo Bills
Seattle Seahawks
55.7%
44.3%
-155
+145
-155
+140
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
+3-108
31
10
-0.51371-0.52206-0.58501
Philadelphia Eagles
Cincinnati Bengals
44.4%
55.6%
+135
-145
+135
-145
+3-110
-2½-115
+3-110
-2½-115
37
17
-0.87165-0.87165-0.81216
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51724 
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51307 
DRatings1814-4 (0.778)0-0.51603
0.00121
-0.00297

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (13-2-0)14.32.70.0100.0%61.2%54.7%39.0%22.2%
2Buffalo Bills (12-3-0)13.73.30.0100.0%100.0%8.6%37.6%22.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (14-1-0)15.21.80.0100.0%100.0%91.4%30.3%13.5%
4Minnesota Vikings (13-2-0)14.03.00.0100.0%38.8%34.9%19.3%9.0%
5Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0)13.83.30.0100.0%99.6%10.4%18.5%8.9%
6Baltimore Ravens (10-5-0)11.55.50.0100.0%68.4%0.0%15.6%8.0%
7Green Bay Packers (11-4-0)12.34.70.0100.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%4.2%
8Houston Texans (9-6-0)10.16.90.095.6%95.3%0.0%6.2%2.7%
9Los Angeles Rams (9-6-0)10.36.70.079.5%79.2%0.0%5.6%2.1%
10Washington Commanders (10-5-0)11.35.70.097.4%0.4%0.0%4.0%1.6%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5-0)10.96.10.0100.0%31.6%0.0%4.3%1.5%
12Los Angeles Chargers (9-6-0)10.36.70.095.3%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.1%
13Denver Broncos (9-6-0)9.97.10.086.2%0.0%0.0%2.8%1.1%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0)9.47.60.065.1%64.2%0.0%2.8%1.0%
15Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0)9.08.00.020.6%20.2%0.0%1.1%0.5%
16Atlanta Falcons (8-7-0)9.08.00.036.8%35.8%0.0%1.1%0.4%
17Miami Dolphins (7-8-0)8.38.70.06.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
18Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0)7.99.10.06.2%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
19Indianapolis Colts (7-8-0)8.48.60.010.7%4.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0)7.59.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New England Patriots (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Chicago Bears (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (7-8-0)7.89.20.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cleveland Browns (3-12-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New Orleans Saints (5-10-0)5.911.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27New York Giants (2-13-0)2.314.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Tennessee Titans (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Francisco 49ers (6-9-0)6.910.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Jets (4-11-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Carolina Panthers (4-11-0)4.612.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.