NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
80.3%
19.7%
-370
+310
-360
+315
-7-108
+7½-115
-7-110
+7½-120
29.5
17.9
47.4
o50-108
u50-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.2%
10.8%
-600
+470
-620
+500
-11-105
+11-108
-11-108
+11-108
31.1
12.6
43.7
o43-105
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.5%
27.5%
-175
+155
-180
+163
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
23.7
16.6
40.3
o39-105
u39½-108
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
19.9%
80.1%
+430
-540
+455
-550
+10½-115
-10-108
+10½-108
-10-110
18.0
29.4
47.4
o44½-108
u45-110
o45-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
66.5%
33.5%
-265
+230
-260
+229
-6-108
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
23.8
19.3
43.1
o41½-105
u41½-108
o41-110
u41½-110
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.6%
81.4%
+290
-360
+310
-350
+7-103
-7-113
+7+100
-7-110
14.7
26.9
41.6
o46-108
u47-110
o46-110
u46-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
19.1%
80.9%
+315
-385
+340
-380
+8-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-108
15.2
27.1
42.3
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.2%
28.8%
-260
+222
-260
+230
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
22.7
15.8
38.5
o40½-115
u41-108
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
51.3%
48.7%
-110
-110
-108
+100
+0-108
+0-108
+0-108
+1-110
24.1
23.5
47.6
o47½-108
u47½-105
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brock Purdy
Jordan Love
47.6%
52.4%
+155
-155
+145
-160
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
-3-108
22.1
23.0
45.1
o46½-108
u46½-108
o46½-110
u47-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
62.7%
37.3%
-150
+130
-145
+130
-2½-115
+2½+102
-2½-110
+3-116
25.0
21.4
46.4
o49-108
u49-108
o49-110
u49½-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Denver Broncos
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30.0%
70.0%
+220
-258
+240
-250
+6-108
-6-105
+6+100
-5½-108
26
7
-1.19577-1.23213-1.20491
Philadelphia Eagles
New Orleans Saints
53.8%
46.2%
+125
-140
+135
-138
+2½+100
-2½-108
+3-120
-2½-110
15
12
-0.83833-0.85977-0.61917
New York Giants
Cleveland Browns
29.3%
70.7%
+240
-285
+255
-285
+6½-108
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
21
15
-1.25758-1.28866-1.22618
Houston Texans
Minnesota Vikings
55.3%
44.7%
-125
+107
-120
+110
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½-108
+2-110
7
34
-0.76548-0.76336-0.80524
Chicago Bears
Indianapolis Colts
50.0%
50.0%
+115
-125
+120
-128
+2-110
-1½-108
+2-108
-1½-110
16
21
-0.60825-0.59314-0.69403
Los Angeles Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers
50.7%
49.3%
+125
-135
+130
-138
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½-108
-2½-108
10
20
-0.57304-0.55953-0.70783
New England Patriots
New York Jets
24.4%
75.6%
+250
-300
+270
-280
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½+104
-6½-110
3
24
-0.32277-0.31247-0.27928
Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
36.4%
63.6%
+215
-245
+215
-235
+5+100
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5-110
22
21
-1.17464-1.16616-1.00983
Chicago Bears
Houston Texans
36.4%
63.6%
+250
-300
+255
-280
+6½-110
-6-108
+6½-108
-6½-108
13
19
-0.32277-0.32375-0.45191
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos
54.9%
45.1%
-145
+130
-145
+135
-2½-117
+2½+102
-2½-118
+3-110
13
6
-0.55080-0.54173-0.59993
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
28.4%
71.6%
+250
-280
+250
-265
+6½+100
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-108
25
26
-0.32768-0.33183-0.33346
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
43.4%
56.6%
-115
-105
-108
-108
+0-108
-1+100
+0-108
+0-108
10
41
-0.71505-0.69315-0.56830
New York Giants
Washington Commanders
52.2%
47.8%
+107
-120
+110
-120
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-108
18
21
-0.63429-0.62755-0.73781
New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
61.0%
39.0%
-190
+170
-180
+175
-4-103
+4-110
-3½+102
+4-110
24
17
-0.44809-0.44830-0.49377
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
61.5%
38.5%
-160
+145
-160
+145
-3-108
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
23
20
-0.50878-0.50878-0.48646
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
62.4%
37.6%
-205
+180
-200
+176
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-108
+4½-110
17
23
-1.05849-1.04381-0.97806
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.