NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
81.3%
18.7%
-370
+310
-360
+315
-7-108
+7½-115
-7½+104
+7½-110
29.9
17.7
47.6
o50½-105
u50½-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.5%
10.5%
-600
+470
-620
+500
-11-105
+11-108
-11-108
+11-108
32.0
12.0
44.0
o43-105
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.5%
27.5%
-175
+155
-180
+163
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
23.7
16.6
40.3
o39-110
u39½-108
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
19.1%
80.9%
+440
-540
+450
-550
+10½-108
-10-110
+10½-110
-10-108
17.8
29.7
47.5
o44½-108
u45-110
o45-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
66.2%
33.8%
-265
+230
-260
+229
-6-108
+6-105
-6-108
+6-108
23.8
19.4
43.2
o41-108
u41½-115
o41-110
u41½-110
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.0%
82.0%
+295
-360
+310
-350
+7½-110
-7-113
+7+100
-7-110
14.7
27.3
42.0
o46-108
u47-110
o46-110
u46-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
18.6%
81.4%
+315
-385
+340
-380
+8-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-108
15.1
27.2
42.3
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.6%
28.4%
-260
+222
-260
+230
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
22.8
15.7
38.5
o41-108
u41-105
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
50.8%
49.2%
-110
-110
-108
-105
+0-108
+0-107
+0-108
+1-110
24.0
23.6
47.6
o47½-108
u47½-105
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brock Purdy
Jordan Love
35.5%
64.5%
+205
-225
+200
-224
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-108
-5½-108
20.8
24.7
45.5
o44½-105
u44½-108
o44-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
63.0%
37.0%
-150
+130
-145
+130
-2½-115
+2½+102
-2½-110
+3-116
25.0
21.4
46.4
o49-108
u49-108
o49-110
u49½-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
37.7%
62.3%
+145
-165
+150
-160
+3+105
-3-114
+3+100
-3-108
18
13
-0.92644-0.93156-0.97511
Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers
60.3%
39.7%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2½-105
+2½-105
-2-108
+2½-110
10
16
-0.81706-0.80802-0.92402
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
32.5%
67.5%
+295
-360
+320
-350
+8-110
-7½-108
+8-108
-7½-110
20
16
-1.40887-1.45081-1.12522
New Orleans Saints
Dallas Cowboys
35.2%
64.8%
+240
-275
+255
-270
+6+105
-6½-106
+6½-105
-6½-108
44
19
-1.25085-1.27830-1.04418
Los Angeles Chargers
Carolina Panthers
68.5%
31.5%
-215
+185
-200
+200
-4½-108
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
26
3
-0.41480-0.40546-0.37813
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens
21.0%
79.0%
+385
-435
+375
-400
+8½-105
-9+100
+9-110
-8-108
26
23
-1.59805-1.56858-1.55927
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
53.1%
46.9%
+125
-140
+125
-134
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½+100
-2½-108
31
10
-0.83833-0.82789-0.63313
New York Jets
San Francisco 49ers
34.7%
65.3%
+175
-190
+184
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-108
-3½-110
19
32
-0.44150-0.43337-0.42557
Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions
30.4%
69.6%
+210
-235
+216
-245
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-108
-5½-108
20
26
-0.37834-0.36855-0.36292
Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland Browns
49.3%
50.7%
+110
-120
+120
-130
+2-108
-1½-105
+2-108
-2-108
33
17
-0.76336-0.80802-0.70751
Washington Commanders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34.0%
66.0%
+190
-195
+190
-195
+4-105
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
20
37
-0.41980-0.41980-0.41491
Denver Broncos
Seattle Seahawks
30.2%
69.8%
+250
-280
+255
-280
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-108
20
26
-0.32768-0.32375-0.35905
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
38.5%
61.5%
+135
-150
+135
-140
+3-108
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
10
22
-0.53604-0.54782-0.48592
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
57.2%
42.8%
-155
+140
-160
+143
-3-105
+3-108
-3-105
+3-110
29
27
-0.52206-0.51206-0.55814
Arizona Cardinals
Buffalo Bills
21.5%
78.5%
+247
-280
+260
-290
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-110
28
34
-0.33010-0.31741-0.24264
Tennessee Titans
Chicago Bears
36.6%
63.4%
+175
-195
+192
-200
+4-103
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-110
17
24
-0.43833-0.41456-0.45519
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.