NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
81.3%
18.7%
-370
+310
-360
+315
-7-108
+7½-115
-7½+104
+7½-110
29.9
17.7
47.6
o50½-105
u50½-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.5%
10.5%
-600
+470
-620
+500
-11-105
+11-108
-11-108
+11-108
32.0
12.0
44.0
o43-105
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.5%
27.5%
-175
+155
-180
+163
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
23.7
16.6
40.3
o39-110
u39½-108
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
19.1%
80.9%
+440
-540
+450
-550
+10½-108
-10-110
+10½-110
-10-108
17.8
29.6
47.4
o44½-108
u45-110
o45-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
66.2%
33.8%
-265
+230
-260
+229
-6-108
+6-105
-6-108
+6-108
23.8
19.4
43.2
o40½-115
u41½-115
o41-110
u41½-110
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.0%
82.0%
+295
-360
+310
-350
+8-115
-7-113
+7+100
-7-110
14.7
27.3
42.0
o46-108
u47-115
o46-110
u46-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
18.6%
81.4%
+315
-385
+340
-380
+8-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-108
15.1
27.2
42.3
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.6%
28.4%
-260
+222
-260
+230
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
22.8
15.7
38.5
o41-108
u41-105
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
50.8%
49.2%
-110
-110
-108
-105
+0-108
+0-107
+0-108
+1-110
24.0
23.6
47.6
o47½-108
u47½-108
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brock Purdy
Jordan Love
35.5%
64.5%
+205
-225
+210
-224
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-108
-5½-108
20.8
24.7
45.5
o44½-105
u44½-108
o44-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
63.0%
37.0%
-150
+130
-145
+130
-2½-115
+2½+102
-2½-110
+3-116
25.0
21.4
46.4
o49-108
u49-108
o49-110
u49-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
20.4%
79.6%
+325
-370
+335
-354
+7½-108
-7½+100
+8-110
-7½-106
16
10
-1.46920-1.47973-1.59116
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
31.1%
68.9%
+165
-185
+170
-185
+3½-107
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-108
10
47
-0.45828-0.45144-0.37308
Minnesota Vikings
New York Giants
54.2%
45.8%
-115
+100
-102
+100
-1-108
+1-108
+1-110
+1-110
28
6
-0.66000-0.68824-0.61253
Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta Falcons
38.4%
61.6%
+170
-191
+184
-190
+4-108
-4-105
+4-105
-4-108
18
10
-1.01963-1.05105-0.95664
Jacksonville Jaguars
Miami Dolphins
40.6%
59.4%
+164
-175
+173
-175
+3½-108
-3½-108
+3½-108
-3½-105
17
20
-0.46703-0.45465-0.52141
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles
45.0%
55.0%
+105
-120
+110
-115
+1-108
-1-108
+2-110
-1-110
29
34
-0.63885-0.63673-0.59766
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
43.5%
56.5%
+130
-145
+130
-142
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+105
-2½-110
20
27
-0.55080-0.55443-0.57125
San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs
56.7%
43.3%
-125
+120
-125
+115
-2-105
+2-105
-2-105
+2-105
22
25
-0.79851-0.78592-0.83665
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
30.7%
69.3%
+295
-350
+300
-340
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
31
34
-0.28178-0.28030-0.36602
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
36.4%
63.6%
+198
-210
+200
-205
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
-3½-110
17
10
-1.10482-1.10407-1.01079
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
37.2%
62.8%
+130
-145
+128
-145
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-105
27
24
-0.85918-0.85416-0.98886
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
30.6%
69.4%
+235
-270
+245
-278
+6-105
-6-108
+6+100
-6+100
23
31
-0.34293-0.33226-0.36458
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
22.5%
77.5%
+400
-480
+412
-460
+10½-108
-10½-108
+10½-105
-10½-105
21
24
-0.21645-0.21330-0.25427
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
19.6%
80.4%
+395
-440
+400
-475
+10-108
-10-105
+10-108
-10+100
10
34
-0.22149-0.21680-0.21816
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
55.2%
44.8%
-155
+145
-155
+140
-3+100
+3-108
-3+105
+3-110
9
32
-0.91198-0.89968-0.80243
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
20.5%
79.5%
+415
-510
+415
-485
+10-110
-9½-108
+10-110
-10+100
17
31
-0.20883-0.21042-0.22944
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.