NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)
Lamar Jackson
Justin Herbert
60.6%
39.4%
-145
+135
-145
+140
-2½-113
+2½+105
-2½-115
+3-110
26.3
22.9
49.2
o50½-108
u51-110
o51-110
u51-110
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Texans
Dallas Cowboys
4.0%
96.0%
+1150
-1650
+1225
-2000
+17-106
-17-108
+17-110
-17-110
23
27
-0.08144-0.07627-0.04057
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
31.2%
68.8%
+156
-175
+160
-170
+3+105
-3-118
+3½-110
-3-115
36
22
-0.96664-0.96964-1.16571
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
25.7%
74.3%
+185
-210
+195
-200
+4½-110
-4-108
+4½-110
-4-110
10
23
-0.41737-0.41110-0.29664
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
83.0%
17.0%
-310
+270
-320
+272
-7-108
+7-105
-7-110
+7-105
48
22
-0.30562-0.30220-0.18673
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
55.7%
44.3%
+110
-127
+110
-125
+2-108
-1½-108
+2-110
-1½-110
16
14
-0.77699-0.77319-0.58593
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
15.5%
84.5%
+400
-465
+390
-450
+10-108
-10½+103
+10-110
-10-110
12
20
-0.21753-0.22269-0.16854
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
63.1%
36.9%
+120
-135
+122
-135
+2½-108
-1-128
+2½-110
-2-110
23
34
-0.58291-0.57893-0.99650
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Rams
78.0%
22.0%
-255
+240
-254
+245
-6-108
+7-130
-5½-110
+6½-110
16
17
-1.23612-1.24570-1.51627
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25.0%
75.0%
+175
-175
+175
-180
+3+107
-3-121
+3½-110
-3½+100
16
17
-0.45199-0.44830-0.28794
Indianapolis Colts
Dallas Cowboys
13.3%
86.7%
+435
-550
+470
-500
+11-105
-11-108
+11½-110
-10½-110
19
54
-0.19960-0.19105-0.14251
Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
59.9%
40.1%
-140
+130
-135
+128
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2-110
+2½-101
24
27
-0.85085-0.83716-0.91337
Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
51.0%
49.0%
+125
-139
+132
-140
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-110
20
27
-0.56768-0.55326-0.71276
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers
39.1%
60.9%
+195
-225
+228
-220
+5-108
-5-108
+5½-110
-5-110
17
33
-0.39854-0.36704-0.49513
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
74.8%
25.2%
-290
+255
-290
+280
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-115
27
23
-0.32123-0.30300-0.29046
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
66.7%
33.3%
-180
+165
-185
+175
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-110
+4-110
28
19
-0.46185-0.44482-0.40500
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans
73.4%
26.6%
-350
+295
-320
+290
-7½-105
+7½-108
-7½-110
+8-110
27
14
-0.28178-0.29008-0.30959
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62880 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62845 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.58573
0.04307
0.04272

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.