NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Unknown
Unknown
10.5%
89.5%
+455
-520
+450
-550
+10½-105
-10½-108
+10½+100
-10½-108
13.1
32.7
45.8
o48½-107
u48½-108
o48-110
u49-110
New York Giants (2-8)
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Unknown
Unknown
42.8%
57.2%
+180
-195
+176
-200
+4-105
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
21.4
24.1
45.5
o37½-110
u38-108
o38-110
u38-110
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Unknown
Unknown
39.0%
61.0%
+155
-170
+150
-170
+3½-113
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-115
21.4
24.7
46.1
o46½-115
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
New England Patriots
24.6%
75.4%
+335
-410
+335
-380
+9-108
-9-105
+9-110
-8-110
33
14
-1.50341-1.49148-1.40072
Pittsburgh Steelers
Miami Dolphins
33.9%
66.1%
+265
-310
+261
-300
+7½-113
-7½-102
+7+100
-7-110
10
16
-0.30921-0.31433-0.41406
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Chargers
25.0%
75.0%
+195
-225
+200
-210
+5-108
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
37
23
-1.11261-1.10933-1.38569
Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers
51.8%
48.2%
-120
+100
-110
+105
+0-108
+1-110
+0-110
+1½-110
44
23
-0.65059-0.65817-0.65764
Houston Texans
Las Vegas Raiders
23.1%
76.9%
+270
-325
+280
-300
+7-105
-7-108
+7-105
-7-110
20
38
-0.30265-0.30075-0.26316
New York Jets
Denver Broncos
45.0%
55.0%
-127
+110
-125
+115
-2-108
+2-108
-1½-110
+2-110
16
9
-0.61580-0.60825-0.79760
Green Bay Packers
Washington Commanders
65.0%
35.0%
-205
+190
-195
+180
-4-107
+4-105
-4-110
+4-110
21
23
-1.08152-1.04762-1.04996
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
81.2%
18.8%
-710
+550
-675
+535
-13-108
+13-105
-13-110
+13-110
3
21
-1.90173-1.87653-1.67211
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
27.2%
72.8%
+240
-285
+245
-270
+6½-107
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
20
23
-0.33455-0.33448-0.31750
Atlanta Falcons
Cincinnati Bengals
24.5%
75.5%
+260
-280
+240
-265
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
17
35
-0.31990-0.34011-0.28147
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
39.9%
60.1%
+125
-140
+125
-135
+2½-108
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-110
10
19
-0.56639-0.57304-0.50948
New York Giants
Jacksonville Jaguars
35.8%
64.2%
+155
-170
+160
-163
+3+105
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-115
23
17
-0.95763-0.95988-1.02851
Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys
21.0%
79.0%
+250
-300
+260
-295
+7-110
-6½-115
+7-105
-7-105
6
24
-0.32277-0.31623-0.23590
New Orleans Saints
Arizona Cardinals
46.0%
54.0%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½-101
-2½-110
34
42
-0.55080-0.54173-0.61533
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
33.8%
66.2%
+180
-190
+175
-185
+4-109
-4-101
+4-110
-3½-110
16
19
-0.43510-0.44482-0.41216
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
25.3%
74.7%
+245
-225
+240
-270
+7-108
-6-109
+7-115
-6½-110
17
26
-0.34973-0.33865-0.29115
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.